TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Panagyurishte
WTT Contender PanagyurishteMatch #13106079
Played Sep 10Finished
Florian Bourrassaud
Home
4.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119611119711511
Dimitrij Ovtcharov
Away
1.17
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:56 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeFlorian Bourrassaud to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFlorian Bourrassaud above · Dimitrij Ovtcharov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 91 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Florian Bourrassaud at 55.4%
91 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:56What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Ovtcharov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Bourrassaud 80% vs Ovtcharov 60%
Bourrassaud
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bourrassaud 70% vs Ovtcharov 50%
Bourrassaud
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bourrassaud +4 · Ovtcharov -1
Bourrassaud
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Ovtcharov) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovtcharov form (60%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBourrassaud 4.50 / Ovtcharov 1.17
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Ovtcharov)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Panagyurishte · #13106079
Bourrassaud4.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Ovtcharov1.17
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBourrassaudOvtcharovBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 5 / 1070%50%7 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvtcharovBourrassaud 4.50/Ovtcharov 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Ovtcharov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ovtcharov won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
F. Bourrassaud10
WSep 9 · 16:40I. Gunduz3.753450F. Bourrassaud1.251111113WSep 9 · 08:15F. Bourrassaud1.071113113F. Rakotoarimanana7.5061130WSep 8 · 14:10F. Bourrassaud1.281311113T. Giovannetti3.5011570WSep 8 · 13:50F. Bourrassaud1.251311113T. Giovannetti3.2111570LSep 4 · 11:35S. Togami1.101111123F. Bourrassaud6.5066100WSep 3 · 06:10A. Mino3.403790F. Bourrassaud1.301111113LAug 6 · 12:25F. Bourrassaud1.577950J. Choi2.251111113LJul 28 · 06:45E. Tikhonov1.5712912113F. Bourrassaud2.2510111091WJul 27 · 14:35F. Bourrassaud1.4111711113D. Ivonin2.60711791WJul 27 · 08:20F. Bourrassaud1.441371111113D. Vinogradov2.6315118552
D. Ovtcharov10
LSep 13 · 11:15E. Ranefur2.38810119114D. Ovtcharov1.53111251153WSep 12 · 15:35C. Nuytinck3.75115681D. Ovtcharov1.2551111113WSep 12 · 09:15R. Kawakami2.50111421182D. Ovtcharov1.50616118113WSep 11 · 15:15Y. Kizukuri3.0051141192D. Ovtcharov1.36118118113LAug 14 · 12:05D. Ovtcharov2.387116101D. Jorgic1.5311811123WAug 13 · 16:35D. Ovtcharov2.381111113J. Oh1.535760WAug 11 · 17:10T. Moregard1.149380D. Ovtcharov5.001111113LJun 30 · 20:45D. Qiu1.5771114113D. Ovtcharov2.251181291WJun 29 · 20:45J. Seyfried2.38115751D. Ovtcharov1.5391111113LJun 20 · 15:35S. Togami1.651111113D. Ovtcharov2.079370
Upcoming Matches
F. Bourrassaud
Nothing scheduled
D. Ovtcharov
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.