TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Panagyurishte
WTT Contender PanagyurishteMatch #13110946
Played Sep 11Finished
Yuto Kizukuri
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511118411118911
Dimitrij Ovtcharov
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:44 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeYuto Kizukuri to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYuto Kizukuri above · Dimitrij Ovtcharov below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 89 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Yuto Kizukuri at 58.9%
89 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:44What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Ovtcharov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Kizukuri 100% vs Ovtcharov 60%
Kizukuri
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kizukuri 90% vs Ovtcharov 60%
Kizukuri
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kizukuri +5 · Ovtcharov +1
Kizukuri
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Ovtcharov) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovtcharov form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKizukuri 3.00 / Ovtcharov 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Ovtcharov)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Panagyurishte · #13110946
Kizukuri3.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Ovtcharov1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKizukuriOvtcharovBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 5 vs 6 / 10100%60%5 / 5 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match3.02.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvtcharovKizukuri 3.00/Ovtcharov 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Ovtcharov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ovtcharov won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Y. Kizukuri10
LSep 16 · 14:35D. Vinogradov4.50134711113Y. Kizukuri1.17111111982WSep 16 · 06:35A. Mamay10.502980Y. Kizukuri1.021111113WSep 10 · 17:20Y. Kizukuri1.141111133J. Oyebode5.0089110WSep 9 · 17:20A. Naranjo6.5068120Y. Kizukuri1.071111143WSep 9 · 17:19A. Naranjo8.0068120Y. Kizukuri1.061111143WSep 9 · 07:25Y. Kizukuri1.101111123A. Vilardell6.5067100WSep 8 · 13:00Y. Kizukuri1.0311118113T. Closset10.00681141WSep 8 · 11:15Y. Kizukuri1.0411118113T. Closset8.00681141LMay 23 · 11:55J. Rolland2.6311711123Y. Kizukuri1.446118101WMay 22 · 10:55Y. Kizukuri1.221111113M. Baechler3.757420
D. Ovtcharov10
LSep 13 · 11:15E. Ranefur2.38810119114D. Ovtcharov1.53111251153WSep 12 · 15:35C. Nuytinck3.75115681D. Ovtcharov1.2551111113WSep 12 · 09:15R. Kawakami2.50111421182D. Ovtcharov1.50616118113WSep 10 · 15:50F. Bourrassaud4.5011611752D. Ovtcharov1.17911911113LAug 14 · 12:05D. Ovtcharov2.387116101D. Jorgic1.5311811123WAug 13 · 16:35D. Ovtcharov2.381111113J. Oh1.535760WAug 11 · 17:10T. Moregard1.149380D. Ovtcharov5.001111113LJun 30 · 20:45D. Qiu1.5771114113D. Ovtcharov2.251181291WJun 29 · 20:45J. Seyfried2.38115751D. Ovtcharov1.5391111113LJun 20 · 15:35S. Togami1.651111113D. Ovtcharov2.079370
Upcoming Matches
Y. Kizukuri
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D. Ovtcharov
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