TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Panagyurishte
WTT Contender PanagyurishteMatch #13104837
Played Sep 9Finished
Angel Naranjo
Home
6.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6118111214––––
Yuto Kizukuri
Away
1.07
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:58 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeYuto Kizukuri to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
6118111214––––
H2H Angel Naranjo 0–1 Yuto Kizukuri Angel Naranjo has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:58What took a side4 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.07 (86%)
Kizukuri
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Naranjo 60% vs Kizukuri 80%
Kizukuri
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Naranjo 50% vs Kizukuri 90%
Kizukuri
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Naranjo +2 · Kizukuri +4
Kizukuri
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Kizukuri) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kizukuri form (80%) is below what odds imply (93%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNaranjo 6.50 / Kizukuri 1.07
Signal prob.14% / 86%
Edge (Kizukuri)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Panagyurishte · #13104837
Naranjo6.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kizukuri1.07
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeNaranjo0wins
AwayKizukuri1wins
Kizukuri leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricNaranjoKizukuriN − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match26.036.0−10.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNaranjoKizukuriBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 9 / 1050%90%5 / 10 vs 9 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.02.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KizukuriNaranjo 6.50/Kizukuri 1.07
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.9%
Kizukuri · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kizukuri won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 9 · 17:20A. Naranjo2668120Y. Kizukuri361111143
A. Naranjo10
WSep 9 · 09:30A. Naranjo1.301071115113E. Vos3.40121181392WSep 8 · 15:05A. Naranjo1.221111113I. Hencl4.008840LSep 3 · 05:00A. Naranjo6.5081111632A. Robles1.10118911113LJul 22 · 21:50A. Naranjo1.53151199102A. Sarmento2.381381111123WJul 22 · 14:35A. Naranjo—1111113B. Panini—7770LJul 11 · 16:20V. Picard1.3051111123A. Naranjo3.401173101WJul 10 · 15:40E. Rios—11931132A. Naranjo—811119113LJun 17 · 20:15A. Naranjo5.506350L. Yuan1.131111113LJun 17 · 16:55A. Naranjo4.506350L. Yuan1.171111113WJun 17 · 10:45A. Naranjo5.50117511113Y. Wang1.1371111972
Y. Kizukuri10
LSep 16 · 14:35D. Vinogradov4.50134711113Y. Kizukuri1.17111111982WSep 16 · 06:35A. Mamay10.502980Y. Kizukuri1.021111113LSep 11 · 15:15Y. Kizukuri3.0051141192D. Ovtcharov1.36118118113WSep 10 · 17:20Y. Kizukuri1.141111133J. Oyebode5.0089110WSep 9 · 17:19A. Naranjo8.0068120Y. Kizukuri1.061111143WSep 9 · 07:25Y. Kizukuri1.101111123A. Vilardell6.5067100WSep 8 · 13:00Y. Kizukuri1.0311118113T. Closset10.00681141WSep 8 · 11:15Y. Kizukuri1.0411118113T. Closset8.00681141LMay 23 · 11:55J. Rolland2.6311711123Y. Kizukuri1.446118101WMay 22 · 10:55Y. Kizukuri1.221111113M. Baechler3.757420
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