TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Astana Quals
WTT Star Contender Astana QualsMatch #13135247
Played Sep 16Finished
Abdulla Mamay
Home
10.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–5Last 8Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211911811––––
Yuto Kizukuri
Away
1.03
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:28 and never touched — 91.1% is still 91.1%
Graded at full timeYuto Kizukuri to win
91.1%
91.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAbdulla Mamay above · Yuto Kizukuri below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 52 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Yuto Kizukuri at 91.1%
52 points played in total.
H2H Abdulla Mamay 0–1 Yuto Kizukuri Abdulla Mamay has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:28What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.02 (91%)
Kizukuri
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Mamay 40% vs Kizukuri 80%
Kizukuri
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mamay 38% vs Kizukuri 80%
Kizukuri
Correct
43pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mamay -2 · Kizukuri -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Kizukuri)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kizukuri form (80%) is below what odds imply (98%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMamay 10.50 / Kizukuri 1.02
Signal prob.9% / 91%
Edge (Kizukuri)-0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Astana Quals · #13135247
Mamay10.50
38%won 3 of 8 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest43%takes the first set · 3 of 7
Kizukuri1.02
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMamay0wins
AwayKizukuri1wins
Kizukuri leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricMamayKizukuriM − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match19.033.0−14.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMamayKizukuriBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 7 vs 8 / 1042.9%80%3 / 7 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.72.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KizukuriMamay 10.50/Kizukuri 1.02
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
91.1%
Kizukuri · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kizukuri won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 16 · 06:35A. Mamay192980Y. Kizukuri331111113
A. Mamay7
LSep 1 · 12:35A. Mamay—5450L. Volin—1111113LJul 25 · 08:05A. Mamay—7570A. Kenzhigulov—1111113WJul 24 · 14:45A. Mamay—1111113S. Yuldoshev—4570LJun 9 · 15:20W. Verdonschot—16117113A. Mamay—1441161WJun 9 · 08:00C. Kraemer—11911862A. Mamay—911611113LSep 3 · 08:45F. Bourrassaud1.83951111103A. Mamay1.8311112582WSep 2 · 11:00A. Mamay—1111113J. Im—5790
Y. Kizukuri10
LSep 16 · 14:35D. Vinogradov4.50134711113Y. Kizukuri1.17111111982LSep 11 · 15:15Y. Kizukuri3.0051141192D. Ovtcharov1.36118118113WSep 10 · 17:20Y. Kizukuri1.141111133J. Oyebode5.0089110WSep 9 · 17:20A. Naranjo6.5068120Y. Kizukuri1.071111143WSep 9 · 17:19A. Naranjo8.0068120Y. Kizukuri1.061111143WSep 9 · 07:25Y. Kizukuri1.101111123A. Vilardell6.5067100WSep 8 · 13:00Y. Kizukuri1.0311118113T. Closset10.00681141WSep 8 · 11:15Y. Kizukuri1.0411118113T. Closset8.00681141LMay 23 · 11:55J. Rolland2.6311711123Y. Kizukuri1.446118101WMay 22 · 10:55Y. Kizukuri1.221111113M. Baechler3.757420
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