TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Panagyurishte
WTT Contender PanagyurishteMatch #13097481
Played Sep 8Finished
Yuto Kizukuri
Home
1.04
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116118811114––
Tom Closset
Away
8.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:10 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeYuto Kizukuri to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
116118811114––
H2H Yuto Kizukuri 1–0 Tom Closset Tom Closset has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.04 (88%)
Kizukuri
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Kizukuri 80% vs Closset 40%
Kizukuri
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kizukuri 90% vs Closset 30%
Kizukuri
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kizukuri -1 · Closset -3
Closset
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Kizukuri) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Closset form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (13%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKizukuri 1.04 / Closset 8.00
Signal prob.89% / 12%
Edge (Kizukuri)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Panagyurishte · #13097481
Kizukuri1.04
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Closset8.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKizukuri1wins
AwayClosset0wins
Kizukuri leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKizukuriClossetK − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match41.029.0+12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKizukuriClossetBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 10 vs 3 / 1090%30%9 / 10 vs 3 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.81.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KizukuriKizukuri 1.04/Closset 8.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.5%
Kizukuri · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kizukuri won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 8 · 13:00Y. Kizukuri4111118113T. Closset29681141
Y. Kizukuri10
LSep 16 · 14:35D. Vinogradov4.50134711113Y. Kizukuri1.17111111982WSep 16 · 06:35A. Mamay10.502980Y. Kizukuri1.021111113LSep 11 · 15:15Y. Kizukuri3.0051141192D. Ovtcharov1.36118118113WSep 10 · 17:20Y. Kizukuri1.141111133J. Oyebode5.0089110WSep 9 · 17:20A. Naranjo6.5068120Y. Kizukuri1.071111143WSep 9 · 17:19A. Naranjo8.0068120Y. Kizukuri1.061111143WSep 9 · 07:25Y. Kizukuri1.101111123A. Vilardell6.5067100WSep 8 · 13:00Y. Kizukuri1.0311118113T. Closset10.00681141LMay 23 · 11:55J. Rolland2.6311711123Y. Kizukuri1.446118101WMay 22 · 10:55Y. Kizukuri1.221111113M. Baechler3.757420
T. Closset10
LSep 8 · 13:00Y. Kizukuri1.0311118113T. Closset10.00681141LSep 8 · 07:00A. Vilardell1.221011116133T. Closset4.00126311112LAug 26 · 10:20D. Lillo1.22811117113T. Closset4.0011851172LAug 21 · 16:50R. Kawakami1.051111113T. Closset8.507770WAug 20 · 15:05L. Stoll1.831211139102T. Closset1.831441111123WAug 20 · 09:10T. Closset2.631311113N. Tretiak1.4411960LAug 19 · 14:00T. Closset1.509117101C. Cozmolici2.5011411113WMay 11 · 08:10T. Closset—11611113L. Ullmann—311891LMay 10 · 16:30T. Closset—4118101Z. Kenjaev—11711123LApr 18 · 14:30T. Closset—1181081A. Klajber—91112113
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