TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Berlin
WTT Feeder BerlinMatch #12465317
Played Aug 20Finished
Loic Stoll
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
121411413119111012
Tom Closset
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLoic Stoll to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLoic Stoll above · Tom Closset below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 107 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Loic Stoll at 54.0%
107 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:35What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Closset
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Stoll 60% vs Closset 40%
Stoll
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stoll 40% vs Closset 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stoll +1 · Closset +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stoll)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Closset form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStoll 1.83 / Closset 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stoll)+4.0pp
WTT Feeder Berlin · #12465317
Stoll1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
75%takes the first set · 6 of 8
Closset1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStollClossetBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 5 / 1050%50%5 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StollStoll 1.83/Closset 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stoll · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Closset won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Stoll10
WAug 19 · 08:35L. Stoll—1111113U. Okanlawon—2270LJun 9 · 13:35Y. Chang1.081111113L. Stoll7.007490LApr 14 · 16:55R. Brard—1113113L. Stoll—71120WApr 14 · 09:50J. Modi—8990L. Stoll—1111113WApr 13 · 10:25L. Stoll—1111113V. Kadlec—7770LNov 24 · 15:10C. Franco2.00851611113L. Stoll1.73111114812WNov 6 · 09:55L. Stoll1.40111110113S. Bedoya2.75281281LNov 5 · 17:45J. Chua1.4471111113L. Stoll2.63114791WNov 5 · 12:35F. Vallino2.258540L. Stoll1.571111113LApr 22 · 16:10M. Shah1.111111113L. Stoll6.007860
T. Closset10
LAug 26 · 10:20D. Lillo1.22811117113T. Closset4.0011851172LAug 21 · 16:50R. Kawakami1.051111113T. Closset8.507770WAug 20 · 09:10T. Closset2.631311113N. Tretiak1.4411960LAug 19 · 14:00T. Closset1.509117101C. Cozmolici2.5011411113WMay 11 · 08:10T. Closset—11611113L. Ullmann—311891LMay 10 · 16:30T. Closset—4118101Z. Kenjaev—11711123LApr 18 · 14:30T. Closset—1181081A. Klajber—91112113LApr 14 · 16:55T. Closset—7760H. Suzuki—1111113WApr 14 · 11:00T. Closset—131111113S. Gilles—156841WApr 13 · 11:40T. Closset1.06121112113C. Hold7.001071451
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