TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Panagyurishte
WTT Contender PanagyurishteMatch #13097479
Played Sep 9Finished
Yuto Kizukuri
Home
1.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161171210––––
Albert Vilardell
Away
6.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:08 and never touched — 61.4% is still 61.4%
Graded at full timeYuto Kizukuri to win
61.4%
61.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYuto Kizukuri above · Albert Vilardell below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 57 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Yuto Kizukuri at 61.4%
57 points played in total.
H2H Yuto Kizukuri 1–0 Albert Vilardell Albert Vilardell has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:08What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Kizukuri
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Kizukuri 80% vs Vilardell 40%
Kizukuri
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kizukuri 90% vs Vilardell 50%
Kizukuri
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kizukuri +2 · Vilardell +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Kizukuri) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vilardell form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (15%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKizukuri 1.10 / Vilardell 6.50
Signal prob.86% / 15%
Edge (Kizukuri)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Panagyurishte · #13097479
Kizukuri1.10
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Vilardell6.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKizukuri1wins
AwayVilardell0wins
Kizukuri leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKizukuriVilardellK − VBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.023.0+11.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKizukuriVilardellBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 5 vs 5 / 10100%50%5 / 5 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match3.02.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KizukuriKizukuri 1.10/Vilardell 6.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.5%
Kizukuri · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kizukuri won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 9 · 07:25Y. Kizukuri341111123A. Vilardell2367100
Y. Kizukuri10
LSep 16 · 14:35D. Vinogradov4.50134711113Y. Kizukuri1.17111111982WSep 16 · 06:35A. Mamay10.502980Y. Kizukuri1.021111113LSep 11 · 15:15Y. Kizukuri3.0051141192D. Ovtcharov1.36118118113WSep 10 · 17:20Y. Kizukuri1.141111133J. Oyebode5.0089110WSep 9 · 17:20A. Naranjo6.5068120Y. Kizukuri1.071111143WSep 9 · 17:19A. Naranjo8.0068120Y. Kizukuri1.061111143WSep 8 · 13:00Y. Kizukuri1.0311118113T. Closset10.00681141WSep 8 · 11:15Y. Kizukuri1.0411118113T. Closset8.00681141LMay 23 · 11:55J. Rolland2.6311711123Y. Kizukuri1.446118101WMay 22 · 10:55Y. Kizukuri1.221111113M. Baechler3.757420
A. Vilardell10
WSep 8 · 07:00A. Vilardell1.221011116133T. Closset4.00126311112LJun 9 · 10:10A. Vilardell—6141121M. Kim—11166113LMay 29 · 10:20T. Apolonia1.1411119113A. Vilardell5.00571121LMay 16 · 17:20M. Pantoja—91111113A. Vilardell—119541WMay 16 · 10:35A. Vilardell—1111113E. Sjogren—8240WMay 15 · 15:00A. Vilardell—1111113O. Ghosh—7770LApr 15 · 16:50A. Vilardell1.255870A. Sareen3.751111113WApr 15 · 10:20A. Vilardell2.631112133A. Abbasi1.44610110WApr 14 · 16:20A. Vilardell—1111113J. Havsteen—6550LApr 14 · 09:50A. Vilardell—11111111102M. Podobnik—139513123
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