TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Panagyurishte
WTT Contender PanagyurishteMatch #13098476
Played Sep 8Finished
Florian Bourrassaud
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311115117––––
Tommaso Giovannetti
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:03 and never touched — 73.1% is still 73.1%
Graded at full timeFlorian Bourrassaud to win
73.1%
73.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFlorian Bourrassaud above · Tommaso Giovannetti below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 58 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Florian Bourrassaud at 73.1%
58 points played in total.
H2H Florian Bourrassaud 2–0 Tommaso Giovannetti Tommaso Giovannetti has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Bourrassaud beat Giovannetti 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:03What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Bourrassaud
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Bourrassaud 40% vs Giovannetti 80%
Giovannetti
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bourrassaud 50% vs Giovannetti 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bourrassaud +1 · Giovannetti -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Bourrassaud)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Giovannetti form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBourrassaud 1.28 / Giovannetti 3.50
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Bourrassaud)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Panagyurishte · #13098476
Bourrassaud1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Giovannetti3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBourrassaud2wins
AwayGiovannetti0wins
Bourrassaud leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBourrassaudGiovannettiB − GBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match35.023.0+12.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBourrassaudGiovannettiBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 4 / 1050%40%5 / 10 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.61.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BourrassaudBourrassaud 1.28/Giovannetti 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Bourrassaud · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bourrassaud won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 8 · 14:10F. Bourrassaud351311113T. Giovannetti2311570
WSep 8 · 13:50F. Bourrassaud351311113T. Giovannetti2311570
F. Bourrassaud10
LSep 10 · 15:50F. Bourrassaud4.5011611752D. Ovtcharov1.17911911113WSep 9 · 16:40I. Gunduz3.753450F. Bourrassaud1.251111113WSep 9 · 08:15F. Bourrassaud1.071113113F. Rakotoarimanana7.5061130WSep 8 · 13:50F. Bourrassaud1.251311113T. Giovannetti3.2111570LSep 4 · 11:35S. Togami1.101111123F. Bourrassaud6.5066100WSep 3 · 06:10A. Mino3.403790F. Bourrassaud1.301111113LAug 6 · 12:25F. Bourrassaud1.577950J. Choi2.251111113LJul 28 · 06:45E. Tikhonov1.5712912113F. Bourrassaud2.2510111091WJul 27 · 14:35F. Bourrassaud1.4111711113D. Ivonin2.60711791WJul 27 · 08:20F. Bourrassaud1.441371111113D. Vinogradov2.6315118552
T. Giovannetti10
LSep 8 · 13:50F. Bourrassaud1.251311113T. Giovannetti3.2111570WSep 8 · 09:20F. Rakotoarimanana3.75991141T. Giovannetti1.2511116113WAug 30 · 09:00A. Klajber1.307990T. Giovannetti3.101111113WAug 30 · 08:20D. Prokopcov—1381171T. Giovannetti—15119113WAug 29 · 09:20J. Zeng—1T. Giovannetti—3LAug 28 · 08:18V. Ursu1.131111123T. Giovannetti5.5039100LMay 1 · 10:10Y. Hong—1111113T. Giovannetti—8570LMay 1 · 09:54T. Yu2.631111113T. Giovannetti1.448570LMar 9 · 11:20T. Giovannetti3.5057111192G. Kim1.28111165113LJan 29 · 11:55T. Giovannetti3.75111110782C. Andras1.25971211113
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