TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Astana
Tomislav Pucar vs Ryoichi Yoshiyama 2-3 · WTT Star Contender Astana
WTT Star Contender Astana
Played Sep 19Finished
Tomislav Pucar
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111176111171113
Ryoichi Yoshiyama
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:32 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeRyoichi Yoshiyama to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomislav Pucar above · Ryoichi Yoshiyama below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 95 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Ryoichi Yoshiyama at 55.3%
95 points played in total.
H2H Tomislav Pucar 0–1 Ryoichi Yoshiyama Tomislav Pucar has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:32What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pucar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Pucar 60% vs Yoshiyama 80%
Yoshiyama
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pucar 60% vs Yoshiyama 80%
Yoshiyama
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pucar +1 · Yoshiyama +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pucar) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yoshiyama form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPucar 1.67 / Yoshiyama 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Pucar)+0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Astana · #13154662
Pucar1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Yoshiyama2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePucar0wins
AwayYoshiyama1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderYoshiyama leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPucarYoshiyamaP − YBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match46.049.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPucarYoshiyamaBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 8 / 1060%80%6 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.22.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PucarPucar 1.67/Yoshiyama 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Pucar · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Yoshiyama won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 19 · 06:45T. Pucar46711611112R. Yoshiyama49117117133
T. Pucar10
WSep 18 · 07:45T. Pucar1.221111113F. Meng4.009880LSep 10 · 12:50T. Pucar6.00117631H. Calderano1.1161111113WSep 9 · 05:55T. Pucar1.5011115113A. Rassenfosse2.50541181LAug 14 · 11:20T. Pucar1.8371171182E. Ranefur1.83115119113WAug 13 · 18:55W. Jang1.228860T. Pucar4.001111113WAug 10 · 17:45A. Robles1.7161291142T. Pucar2.001110118113WAug 10 · 15:45A. Robles2.0061291142T. Pucar1.731110118113LAug 4 · 02:00K. Jha1.301111113T. Pucar3.407870LJul 25 · 15:10H. Calderano1.1011114113T. Pucar6.50951161WJul 24 · 15:10M. Karlsson1.838111181T. Pucar1.8311136113
R. Yoshiyama10
LSep 19 · 14:00A. Lebrun1.101111123R. Yoshiyama6.5053100WSep 18 · 14:00R. Yoshiyama2.2512511113T. Poret1.571011481WSep 17 · 02:00Y. Sakai2.7566111162R. Yoshiyama1.40111149113LSep 11 · 14:25A. Bertelsmeier2.3811511113R. Yoshiyama1.53711781WSep 10 · 14:00R. Yoshiyama1.8371111113J. Groth1.83118521WSep 10 · 03:00R. Yoshiyama1.8371111113J. Groth1.83118521LSep 4 · 12:10R. Yoshiyama1.5069120E. Tikhonov2.501111143WSep 3 · 06:45R. Yoshiyama1.081111113I. Kharki7.007530WAug 8 · 10:40J. Yokotani1.8051710101R. Yoshiyama1.91111512123WAug 8 · 03:50Y. Tanaka1.4411142592R. Yoshiyama2.638121111113
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