TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Astana
Ryoichi Yoshiyama vs Thibault Poret 3-1 · WTT Star Contender Astana
WTT Star Contender Astana
Played Sep 18Finished
Ryoichi Yoshiyama
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210511114118––
Thibault Poret
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:50 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeThibault Poret to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRyoichi Yoshiyama above · Thibault Poret below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Thibault Poret at 58.9%
72 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:50What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Poret
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Yoshiyama 60% vs Poret 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yoshiyama 80% vs Poret 60%
Yoshiyama
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yoshiyama +1 · Poret -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Poret)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yoshiyama form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYoshiyama 2.25 / Poret 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Poret)+0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Astana · #13147336
Yoshiyama2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Poret1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricYoshiyamaPoretBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 6 / 1080%60%8 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.52.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
PoretYoshiyama 2.25/Poret 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Poret · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Yoshiyama won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Yoshiyama10
LSep 19 · 14:00A. Lebrun1.101111123R. Yoshiyama6.5053100WSep 19 · 06:45T. Pucar1.67711611112R. Yoshiyama2.10117117133WSep 17 · 02:00Y. Sakai2.7566111162R. Yoshiyama1.40111149113LSep 11 · 14:25A. Bertelsmeier2.3811511113R. Yoshiyama1.53711781WSep 10 · 14:00R. Yoshiyama1.8371111113J. Groth1.83118521WSep 10 · 03:00R. Yoshiyama1.8371111113J. Groth1.83118521LSep 4 · 12:10R. Yoshiyama1.5069120E. Tikhonov2.501111143WSep 3 · 06:45R. Yoshiyama1.081111113I. Kharki7.007530WAug 8 · 10:40J. Yokotani1.8051710101R. Yoshiyama1.91111512123WAug 8 · 03:50Y. Tanaka1.4411142592R. Yoshiyama2.638121111113
T. Poret10
LSep 12 · 09:45T. Poret2.2561111111K. Karlsson1.5711137133WSep 11 · 14:00T. Poret1.3681111113R. Walther3.00114441WSep 10 · 21:30T. Poret1.3581211113T. Apolonia2.801110471WSep 10 · 03:00T. Poret1.3681211113T. Apolonia3.001110471LAug 14 · 18:05F. Lebrun1.171111113T. Poret4.502440WAug 13 · 11:45J. Geraldo2.00148951T. Poret1.73121111113WAug 11 · 11:10T. Poret3.25821111113P. Franziska1.3311118592LJul 25 · 14:35P. Franziska1.3381211113T. Poret3.251110791WJul 24 · 16:20W. Verdonschot2.3811651172T. Poret1.53411118113LJun 30 · 02:10B. Duda1.531111113T. Poret2.387630
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