TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Panagyurishte
WTT Contender PanagyurishteMatch #13105483
Played Sep 10Finished
Thibault Poret
Home
1.35
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111210114117––
Tiago Apolonia
Away
2.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeThibault Poret to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
8111210114117––
H2H Thibault Poret 1–0 Tiago Apolonia Tiago Apolonia has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:46What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (67%)
Poret
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Poret 60% vs Apolonia 20%
Poret
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poret 50% vs Apolonia 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Poret +1 · Apolonia -3
Apolonia
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Poret) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Apolonia form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoret 1.35 / Apolonia 2.80
Signal prob.68% / 33%
Edge (Poret)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Panagyurishte · #13105483
Poret1.35
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Apolonia2.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePoret1wins
AwayApolonia0wins
Poret leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPoretApoloniaP − ABasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match42.032.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoretApoloniaBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 5 / 1050%50%5 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PoretPoret 1.35/Apolonia 2.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Poret · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Poret won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 10 · 03:00T. Poret4281211113T. Apolonia321110471
T. Poret10
LSep 12 · 09:45T. Poret2.2561111111K. Karlsson1.5711137133WSep 11 · 14:00T. Poret1.3681111113R. Walther3.00114441WSep 10 · 03:00T. Poret1.3681211113T. Apolonia3.001110471LAug 14 · 18:05F. Lebrun1.171111103T. Poret4.502440WAug 13 · 11:45J. Geraldo2.00148951T. Poret1.73121111113WAug 11 · 11:10T. Poret3.25821111113P. Franziska1.3311118592LJul 25 · 14:35P. Franziska1.3381211113T. Poret3.251110791WJul 24 · 16:20W. Verdonschot2.3811651172T. Poret1.53411118113LJun 30 · 02:10B. Duda1.531111113T. Poret2.387630LJun 20 · 01:20S. Gauzy—1111113T. Poret—9980
T. Apolonia10
LSep 10 · 03:00T. Poret1.3681211113T. Apolonia3.001110471LAug 8 · 14:45T. Apolonia1.3631D. Kozul3.0043LJun 27 · 02:50T. Apolonia1.481241071C. Andras2.42101112113WJun 26 · 22:15A. Luo8.501470T. Apolonia1.051111113LJun 5 · 06:00T. Apolonia2.631411511102H. Shinozuka1.44169116123WJun 4 · 10:10T. Apolonia1.83581111113M. Thakkar1.8311115892LMay 31 · 16:15I. Ban2.0011911113T. Apolonia1.73711941WMay 31 · 09:45A. Bhattacharjee2.63711111132T. Apolonia1.44119813113WMay 30 · 18:00T. Apolonia1.551111113P. Jain2.158870WMay 30 · 11:20T. Apolonia1.1711119113G. Gomez4.50771181
Upcoming Matches
T. Poret
T. Apolonia
Nothing scheduled
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