TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155797
Played Sep 19Finished
Vitalii Boyko
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311611611––––
Oleh Napirko
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Napirko to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Boyko above · Oleh Napirko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 48 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Oleh Napirko at 62.0%
48 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Boyko 63–84 Oleh Napirko Vitalii Boyko has won 63 of their 147 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:58What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Napirko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
63-84 in 147
Napirko
Correct
gap of 21 in 147, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boyko 1583 vs Napirko 1583
Napirko
Correct
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boyko 100% vs Napirko 40%
Boyko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boyko 50% vs Napirko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Boyko +5 · Napirko -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Napirko) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Napirko form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoyko 2.38 / Napirko 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Napirko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13155797
Boyko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 33 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back25% 15 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33
Napirko1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite53% won 71 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it88% 44 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it73% 58 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBoyko6wins
AwayNapirko4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderBoyko leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoykon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayNapirko50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boyko2Napirko8n = 10Napirko took 8 of 10
S2Boyko6Napirko4n = 10Boyko took 6 of 10
S3Boyko4Napirko6n = 10Napirko took 6 of 10
S4Boyko6Napirko3n = 9Boyko took 6 of 9
S5Boyko4Napirko2n = 6Boyko took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBoykoNapirkoB − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match42.943.3−0.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoykoNapirkoBasisWin rate · lifetime225 / 482 vs 422 / 85146.7%49.6%225 / 482 vs 422 / 851Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NapirkoBoyko 2.38/Napirko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Napirko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Napirko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 12 · 15:05V. Boyko521111811113O. Napirko4651311892
LAug 22 · 16:35V. Boyko30211891O. Napirko4011711113
LAug 2 · 07:35V. Boyko4151191152O. Napirko46119114113
WJun 27 · 13:05V. Boyko49771111133O. Napirko41111135112
WJun 21 · 07:35V. Boyko50811119113O. Napirko4411761192
LJun 20 · 16:35V. Boyko51811151162O. Napirko55118178113
WJun 6 · 16:35V. Boyko3811511113O. Napirko36711991
LJun 6 · 24:30V. Boyko228860O. Napirko331111113
WMay 31 · 07:05V. Boyko53713119133O. Napirko491111511112
V. Boyko10
WSep 19 · 18:05A. Shypilov1.73811991V. Boyko2.0011711113WSep 19 · 16:05V. Boyko2.201111912103R. Lazebnyi1.6179111482WSep 19 · 14:35V. Boyko1.57111114103V. Vlasenko2.251391251WSep 19 · 12:35V. Boyko2.5012118113N. Kovalchuk1.501071191WSep 13 · 10:35V. Boyko2.254131011123O. Napirko1.571111128112WSep 13 · 09:05V. Boyko2.101111113A. Shypilov1.673590LSep 13 · 07:35V. Boyko1.671110791V. Vlasenko2.1071211113LSep 13 · 06:05V. Boyko2.101012611112S. Kalenyk1.671210114133LSep 13 · 04:35V. Boyko1.73851111102O. Mitla2.00111188123LSep 12 · 18:05V. Boyko1.572570O. Mitla2.251111113
O. Napirko10
LSep 19 · 15:05A. Shypilov2.1081111123O. Napirko1.671197101LSep 19 · 14:05O. Napirko1.911211101082R. Lazebnyi1.801081212103LSep 19 · 13:05V. Vlasenko1.831111123O. Napirko1.8347100WSep 18 · 03:15R. Lazebnyi1.675690O. Napirko2.101111113WSep 18 · 01:45O. Napirko2.5011311113N. Kovalchuk1.50511751WSep 17 · 23:45V. Vlasenko1.8399111272O. Napirko1.831111910113LSep 17 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.001211116113O. Napirko1.7314251192WSep 17 · 20:45O. Mitla3.2567120O. Napirko1.331111143WSep 16 · 02:45V. Vlasenko1.8311511872O. Napirko1.83911511113LSep 13 · 10:35V. Boyko2.254131011123O. Napirko1.571111128112
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