TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155742
Played Sep 19Finished
Anton Shypilov
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111191171210––
Oleh Napirko
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:38 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Napirko to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnton Shypilov above · Oleh Napirko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 79 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Oleh Napirko at 59.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Anton Shypilov 35–35 Oleh Napirko Dead even across their 70 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Napirko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-35 in 70
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shypilov 1463 vs Napirko 1599
Napirko
Wrong
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shypilov 20% vs Napirko 60%
Napirko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shypilov 30% vs Napirko 60%
Napirko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shypilov +1 · Napirko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Napirko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shypilov form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShypilov 2.10 / Napirko 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Napirko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13155742
Shypilov2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 159 of 359
Down 0–1, comes back29% 56 of 194
Down 0–2, comes back13% 13 of 102
Napirko1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 71 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it88% 44 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it73% 58 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShypilov5wins
AwayNapirko5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShypilov50%3 of 6
AwayNapirko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shypilov6Napirko4n = 10Shypilov took 6 of 10
S2Shypilov4Napirko6n = 10Napirko took 6 of 10
S3Shypilov7Napirko3n = 10Shypilov took 7 of 10
S4Shypilov1Napirko7n = 8Napirko took 7 of 8
S5Shypilov3Napirko2n = 5Shypilov took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricShypilovNapirkoS − NBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.241.1−1.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShypilovNapirkoBasisWin rate · lifetime368 / 812 vs 422 / 85045.3%49.7%368 / 812 vs 422 / 850Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NapirkoShypilov 2.10/Napirko 1.67
Hit
What we said
59%
Napirko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Shypilov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 21:45A. Shypilov511211116113O. Napirko4114251192
LSep 15 · 20:15A. Shypilov321111281O. Napirko3941311113
LSep 13 · 07:05A. Shypilov48111261092O. Napirko539101112113
WSep 12 · 13:05A. Shypilov341111123O. Napirko1936100
LSep 9 · 24:45A. Shypilov28741251O. Napirko43111110113
LAug 27 · 24:45A. Shypilov3611511272O. Napirko50911811113
WAug 22 · 18:35A. Shypilov45119113113O. Napirko4571191172
LAug 19 · 23:45A. Shypilov219840O. Napirko331111113
WAug 14 · 24:45A. Shypilov4051112123O. Napirko4011910101
WAug 9 · 09:35A. Shypilov5715101110113O. Napirko48131261252
A. Shypilov10
WSep 19 · 13:35A. Shypilov2.1011911103N. Kovalchuk1.67711891LSep 19 · 12:05A. Shypilov2.754750R. Lazebnyi1.401111113LSep 18 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.83118111472O. Mitla1.837111312113LSep 18 · 24:45A. Shypilov1.9111911792V. Vlasenko1.80511911113LSep 17 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.636980R. Lazebnyi1.441111113WSep 17 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.001211116113O. Napirko1.7314251192LSep 17 · 20:15A. Shypilov2.105550N. Kovalchuk1.671111113LSep 17 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.91121181172O. Mitla1.80146119113WSep 17 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.25117118113O. Hura1.5791171192LSep 16 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.631148121S. Berezynskyi1.4471111143
O. Napirko10
LSep 19 · 14:05O. Napirko1.911211101082R. Lazebnyi1.801081212103LSep 19 · 13:05V. Vlasenko1.831111123O. Napirko1.8347100WSep 18 · 03:15R. Lazebnyi1.675690O. Napirko2.101111113WSep 18 · 01:45O. Napirko2.5011311113N. Kovalchuk1.50511751WSep 17 · 23:45V. Vlasenko1.8399111272O. Napirko1.831111910113LSep 17 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.001211116113O. Napirko1.7314251192WSep 17 · 20:45O. Mitla3.2567120O. Napirko1.331111143WSep 16 · 02:45V. Vlasenko1.8311511872O. Napirko1.83911511113WSep 16 · 01:45R. Lazebnyi1.5737111192O. Napirko2.25111197113LSep 16 · 24:15O. Mitla3.4011127113O. Napirko1.309101181
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