TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136652
Played Sep 17Finished
Anton Shypilov
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119711117811119
Orest Hura
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:54 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeOrest Hura to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnton Shypilov above · Orest Hura below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 95 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Orest Hura at 62.5%
95 points played in total.
H2H Anton Shypilov 37–32 Orest Hura Orest Hura has won 32 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:54What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hura
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-32 in 69
Shypilov
Correct
gap of 5 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shypilov 1472 vs Hura 1597
Hura
Wrong
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shypilov 20% vs Hura 60%
Hura
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shypilov 20% vs Hura 50%
Hura
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shypilov -3 · Hura -2
Shypilov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Hura)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shypilov form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShypilov 2.25 / Hura 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Hura)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13136652
Shypilov2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 161 of 357
Down 0–1, comes back29% 57 of 194
Down 0–2, comes back13% 13 of 101
Hura1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 78 of 152
Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it72% 54 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShypilov4wins
AwayHura6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHura leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShypilovn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHura66.7%6 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shypilov1Hura9n = 10Hura took 9 of 10
S2Shypilov6Hura4n = 10Shypilov took 6 of 10
S3Shypilov3Hura7n = 10Hura took 7 of 10
S4Shypilov4Hura3n = 7Shypilov took 4 of 7
S5Shypilov2Hura1n = 3Shypilov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricShypilovHuraS − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match37.540.0−2.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShypilovHuraBasisWin rate · lifetime367 / 807 vs 421 / 79345.5%53.1%367 / 807 vs 421 / 793Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HuraShypilov 2.25/Hura 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Hura · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Shypilov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 20:30A. Shypilov4312119113O. Hura371071191
LSep 9 · 21:45A. Shypilov31711851O. Hura4111811113
WSep 2 · 21:45A. Shypilov45611116113O. Hura4411681182
LSep 1 · 22:45A. Shypilov2811890O. Hura351311113
LAug 29 · 15:35A. Shypilov2610790O. Hura341211113
WAug 28 · 22:30A. Shypilov3851111113O. Hura30115771
LAug 26 · 24:45A. Shypilov2110560O. Hura341211113
WAug 21 · 20:30A. Shypilov56911711183O. Hura56119119162
LAug 18 · 21:15A. Shypilov49711121182O. Hura48114148113
LAug 16 · 09:35A. Shypilov381091181O. Hura4112117113
A. Shypilov10
LSep 16 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.631148121S. Berezynskyi1.4471111143LSep 16 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.10812111172N. Kovalchuk1.67111487113LSep 16 · 20:15A. Shypilov2.7513811682R. Lazebnyi1.401111611113WSep 16 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.838111011133O. Mitla1.83119128112LSep 16 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.101191171V. Vlasenko1.6791113113WSep 15 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.2011511113N. Kovalchuk1.61611971LSep 15 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.38411571R. Lazebnyi1.5311911113LSep 15 · 20:15A. Shypilov2.001111281O. Napirko1.7341311113LSep 13 · 11:05A. Shypilov1.911187101O. Mitla1.8061111123LSep 13 · 09:05V. Boyko2.101111113A. Shypilov1.673590
O. Hura10
LSep 16 · 23:45O. Hura2.10114111182N. Kovalchuk1.67711913113LSep 16 · 22:45O. Mitla2.104111111113O. Hura1.6711913942WSep 16 · 21:15O. Hura2.1011911113S. Berezynskyi1.67811861WSep 12 · 03:00S. Kalenyk1.67117691O. Hura2.1041111113WSep 12 · 01:30O. Hura1.6711611113O. Mitla2.10411781WSep 11 · 23:30V. Boyko2.2061250O. Hura1.611114113WSep 11 · 21:30V. Vlasenko2.0071080O. Hura1.731112113LSep 11 · 20:30A. Shypilov2.1012119113O. Hura1.671071191LSep 10 · 03:15S. Kalenyk1.671091111113O. Hura2.1012117762LSep 10 · 01:45O. Hura1.7399111192O. Mitla2.00111195113
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