TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131498
Played Sep 16Finished
Anton Shypilov
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
81111910121181311
Oleksii Mitla
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksii Mitla to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnton Shypilov above · Oleksii Mitla below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 104 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Oleksii Mitla at 54.0%
104 points played in total.
H2H Anton Shypilov 48–62 Oleksii Mitla Anton Shypilov has won 48 of their 110 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:14What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Mitla
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
48-62 in 110
Mitla
Wrong
gap of 14 in 110, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shypilov 1483 vs Mitla 1458
Shypilov
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shypilov 20% vs Mitla 40%
Mitla
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shypilov 30% vs Mitla 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shypilov -1 · Mitla -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mitla)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mitla form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShypilov 1.83 / Mitla 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mitla)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13131498
Shypilov1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Mitla1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShypilov4wins
AwayMitla6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMitla leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShypilov80%4 of 5
AwayMitla100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shypilov5Mitla5n = 10split evenly
S2Shypilov6Mitla4n = 10Shypilov took 6 of 10
S3Shypilov4Mitla6n = 10Mitla took 6 of 10
S4Shypilov5Mitla5n = 10split evenly
S5Shypilov1Mitla3n = 4Mitla took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricShypilovMitlaS − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.440.5+2.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShypilovMitlaBasisWin rate · lifetime366 / 803 vs 340 / 78445.6%43.4%366 / 803 vs 340 / 784Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MitlaShypilov 1.83/Mitla 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Mitla · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Shypilov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 14:35A. Shypilov4311129113O. Mitla349101141
LSep 12 · 24:00A. Shypilov48116911112O. Mitla47511117133
LSep 9 · 20:15A. Shypilov4391410101O. Mitla47111212123
WSep 8 · 20:15A. Shypilov4211128113O. Mitla274101121
LSep 3 · 03:15A. Shypilov358111151O. Mitla4411913113
WSep 2 · 24:45A. Shypilov49118117123O. Mitla47711811102
WAug 29 · 19:05A. Shypilov4211119113O. Mitla25271151
LAug 28 · 21:00A. Shypilov398111191O. Mitla3711132113
LAug 26 · 23:45A. Shypilov4359111172O. Mitla47111186113
LAug 22 · 16:05A. Shypilov50811111282O. Mitla50118614113
A. Shypilov10
LSep 16 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.101191171V. Vlasenko1.6791113113WSep 15 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.2011511113N. Kovalchuk1.61611971LSep 15 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.38411571R. Lazebnyi1.5311911113LSep 15 · 20:15A. Shypilov2.001111281O. Napirko1.7341311113LSep 13 · 11:05A. Shypilov1.911187101O. Mitla1.8061111123LSep 13 · 09:05V. Boyko2.101111113A. Shypilov1.673590LSep 13 · 08:05A. Shypilov2.108930S. Kalenyk1.671111113LSep 13 · 07:05O. Napirko1.809101112113A. Shypilov1.91111261092WSep 13 · 05:35A. Shypilov1.91811117113V. Vlasenko1.8011671182WSep 12 · 18:35A. Shypilov2.001112113M. Smyrnov1.7371050
O. Mitla10
LSep 16 · 01:15O. Mitla3.256980N. Kovalchuk1.331111113WSep 16 · 24:15O. Mitla3.4011127113O. Napirko1.309101181LSep 15 · 22:45O. Mitla1.83391291V. Vlasenko1.83111110113LSep 15 · 20:45O. Mitla2.63711471R. Lazebnyi1.4411611113WSep 13 · 11:05A. Shypilov1.911187101O. Mitla1.8061111123LSep 13 · 10:05S. Kalenyk1.531111113O. Mitla2.388570LSep 13 · 08:35O. Napirko1.30911119113O. Mitla3.4011791122LSep 13 · 06:35V. Vlasenko1.8011119113O. Mitla1.91551161WSep 13 · 04:35V. Boyko1.73851111102O. Mitla2.00111188123WSep 12 · 18:05V. Boyko1.572570O. Mitla2.251111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Shypilov
O. Mitla
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.