TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136743
Played Sep 16Finished
Anton Shypilov
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1174118111214––
Serhii Berezynskyi
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:16 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Berezynskyi to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Shypilov above · Serhii Berezynskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 78 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Serhii Berezynskyi at 67.7%
78 points played in total.
H2H Anton Shypilov 13–14 Serhii Berezynskyi Anton Shypilov has won 13 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Berezynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-14 in 27
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shypilov 1479 vs Berezynskyi 1624
Berezynskyi
Correct
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shypilov 40% vs Berezynskyi 60%
Berezynskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shypilov 20% vs Berezynskyi 50%
Berezynskyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shypilov -2 · Berezynskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Berezynskyi)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShypilov 2.63 / Berezynskyi 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Berezynskyi)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13136743
Shypilov2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 161 of 357
Down 0–1, comes back29% 57 of 194
Down 0–2, comes back13% 13 of 101
Berezynskyi1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 56 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it88% 28 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it75% 41 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShypilov4wins
AwayBerezynskyi6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBerezynskyi leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShypilovn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBerezynskyi75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shypilov2Berezynskyi8n = 10Berezynskyi took 8 of 10
S2Shypilov2Berezynskyi8n = 10Berezynskyi took 8 of 10
S3Shypilov5Berezynskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Shypilov4Berezynskyi2n = 6Shypilov took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricShypilovBerezynskyiS − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match30.436.8−6.4per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShypilovBerezynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime367 / 806 vs 170 / 34545.5%49.3%367 / 806 vs 170 / 345Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerezynskyiShypilov 2.63/Berezynskyi 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Berezynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Berezynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 22:15A. Shypilov41261111113S. Berezynskyi4611117982
LAug 27 · 02:45A. Shypilov134180S. Berezynskyi331111113
LAug 19 · 21:45A. Shypilov2361250S. Berezynskyi361114113
WAug 19 · 01:15A. Shypilov44121011113S. Berezynskyi381012881
LJul 30 · 02:45A. Shypilov219390S. Berezynskyi331111113
LJul 13 · 23:45A. Shypilov32711951S. Berezynskyi3711411113
LJul 10 · 21:00A. Shypilov345711111S. Berezynskyi4411119133
WJul 1 · 21:45A. Shypilov4311911123S. Berezynskyi334118101
LJun 21 · 08:05A. Shypilov136610S. Berezynskyi331111113
WJun 20 · 12:35A. Shypilov4071111113S. Berezynskyi35119691
A. Shypilov10
LSep 16 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.10812111172N. Kovalchuk1.67111487113LSep 16 · 20:15A. Shypilov2.7513811682R. Lazebnyi1.401111611113WSep 16 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.838111011133O. Mitla1.83119128112LSep 16 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.101191171V. Vlasenko1.6791113113WSep 15 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.2011511113N. Kovalchuk1.61611971LSep 15 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.38411571R. Lazebnyi1.5311911113LSep 15 · 20:15A. Shypilov2.001111281O. Napirko1.7341311113LSep 13 · 11:05A. Shypilov1.911187101O. Mitla1.8061111123LSep 13 · 09:05V. Boyko2.101111113A. Shypilov1.673590LSep 13 · 08:05A. Shypilov2.108930S. Kalenyk1.671111113
S. Berezynskyi10
WSep 16 · 22:15S. Berezynskyi1.67121310113R. Lazebnyi2.1010111271LSep 16 · 21:15O. Hura2.1011911113S. Berezynskyi1.67811861LSep 5 · 18:05S. Berezynskyi1.6710880O. Hura2.101211113WSep 5 · 16:35S. Berezynskyi1.5391111113Y. Shmyndra2.38116841WSep 5 · 15:05S. Berezynskyi1.44111142S. Kalenyk2.639840LSep 5 · 13:35S. Berezynskyi1.6168100M. Smyrnov2.201111123WSep 5 · 12:05S. Berezynskyi1.441111811113V. Vlasenko2.6313811592WSep 5 · 02:30S. Berezynskyi1.442111011113S. Kalenyk2.6311312532LSep 5 · 24:30M. Smyrnov2.501111123S. Berezynskyi1.5087100LSep 4 · 23:30S. Berezynskyi1.67118861O. Hura2.1071111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Shypilov
Sep 17 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.25O. Hura1.57—Sep 17 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.91O. Mitla1.80—Sep 17 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.91N. Kovalchuk1.80—Sep 17 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.00O. Napirko1.73—Sep 17 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.63R. Lazebnyi1.44—Sep 18 · 24:45A. Shypilov1.91V. Vlasenko1.80—Sep 18 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.91O. Mitla1.80—
S. Berezynskyi
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