TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136676
Played Sep 16Finished
Serhii Berezynskyi
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
121013111012117––
Ruslan Lazebnyi
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeSerhii Berezynskyi to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Berezynskyi above · Ruslan Lazebnyi below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 86 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Serhii Berezynskyi at 55.8%
86 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Berezynskyi 2–0 Ruslan Lazebnyi Ruslan Lazebnyi has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:55What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Berezynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Berezynskyi 1613 vs Lazebnyi 1576
Berezynskyi
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Berezynskyi 40% vs Lazebnyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Berezynskyi 40% vs Lazebnyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Berezynskyi -2 · Lazebnyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Berezynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Berezynskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBerezynskyi 1.67 / Lazebnyi 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Berezynskyi)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13136676
Berezynskyi1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 56 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it88% 28 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it75% 41 of 55
Lazebnyi2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 18 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back20% 6 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBerezynskyi2wins
AwayLazebnyi0wins
Berezynskyi leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBerezynskyiLazebnyiB − LBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match40.531.5+9.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerezynskyiLazebnyiBasisWin rate · lifetime169 / 344 vs 64 / 13049.1%49.2%169 / 344 vs 64 / 130Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerezynskyiBerezynskyi 1.67/Lazebnyi 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Berezynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Berezynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 31 · 21:15S. Berezynskyi422011113R. Lazebnyi3318690
WAug 18 · 20:45S. Berezynskyi3911611113R. Lazebnyi30611761
S. Berezynskyi10
WSep 16 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.631148121S. Berezynskyi1.4471111143LSep 16 · 21:15O. Hura2.1011911113S. Berezynskyi1.67811861LSep 5 · 18:05S. Berezynskyi1.6710880O. Hura2.101211113WSep 5 · 16:35S. Berezynskyi1.5391111113Y. Shmyndra2.38116841WSep 5 · 15:05S. Berezynskyi1.44111142S. Kalenyk2.639840LSep 5 · 13:35S. Berezynskyi1.6168100M. Smyrnov2.201111123WSep 5 · 12:05S. Berezynskyi1.441111811113V. Vlasenko2.6313811592WSep 5 · 02:30S. Berezynskyi1.442111011113S. Kalenyk2.6311312532LSep 5 · 24:30M. Smyrnov2.501111123S. Berezynskyi1.5087100LSep 4 · 23:30S. Berezynskyi1.67118861O. Hura2.1071111113
R. Lazebnyi10
WSep 16 · 20:15A. Shypilov2.7513811682R. Lazebnyi1.401111611113LSep 16 · 03:15N. Kovalchuk1.671111123R. Lazebnyi2.1097100LSep 16 · 01:45R. Lazebnyi1.5737111192O. Napirko2.25111197113LSep 15 · 23:45V. Vlasenko2.38123119133R. Lazebnyi1.531011511112WSep 15 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.38411571R. Lazebnyi1.5311911113WSep 15 · 20:45O. Mitla2.63711471R. Lazebnyi1.4411611113LSep 14 · 03:00D. Shcherbak1.57911117113R. Lazebnyi2.2511861122WSep 14 · 01:30R. Lazebnyi2.25951111113O. Bindas1.5711114682LSep 13 · 23:30D. Pesternikov1.361111113R. Lazebnyi3.006390LSep 13 · 21:30S. Rak1.33111111113R. Lazebnyi3.25713461
Upcoming Matches
S. Berezynskyi
R. Lazebnyi
Sep 17 · 24:15R. Lazebnyi1.36O. Mitla3.00—Sep 17 · 01:45R. Lazebnyi2.25N. Kovalchuk1.57—Sep 17 · 02:45R. Lazebnyi1.83O. Hura1.83—Sep 17 · 21:15R. Lazebnyi1.61V. Vlasenko2.20—Sep 17 · 22:15R. Lazebnyi2.25N. Kovalchuk1.57—Sep 17 · 23:15R. Lazebnyi1.44A. Shypilov2.63—Sep 18 · 01:15R. Lazebnyi1.40O. Mitla2.75—Sep 18 · 03:15R. Lazebnyi1.67O. Napirko2.10—
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