TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13141996
Played Sep 17Finished
Anton Shypilov
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1214112115611119
Oleh Napirko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:11 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeOleh Napirko to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnton Shypilov above · Oleh Napirko below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 92 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Oleh Napirko at 54.9%
92 points played in total.
H2H Anton Shypilov 34–35 Oleh Napirko Anton Shypilov has won 34 of their 69 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:11What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Napirko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-35 in 69
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shypilov 1469 vs Napirko 1590
Napirko
Wrong
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shypilov 20% vs Napirko 60%
Napirko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shypilov 30% vs Napirko 70%
Napirko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shypilov -2 · Napirko +3
Napirko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Napirko) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shypilov form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShypilov 2.00 / Napirko 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Napirko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13141996
Shypilov2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 159 of 358
Down 0–1, comes back29% 56 of 194
Down 0–2, comes back13% 13 of 101
Napirko1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite53% won 70 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it88% 43 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it73% 57 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShypilov4wins
AwayNapirko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderNapirko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShypilov50%3 of 6
AwayNapirko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shypilov6Napirko4n = 10Shypilov took 6 of 10
S2Shypilov3Napirko7n = 10Napirko took 7 of 10
S3Shypilov7Napirko3n = 10Shypilov took 7 of 10
S4Shypilov1Napirko7n = 8Napirko took 7 of 8
S5Shypilov2Napirko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricShypilovNapirkoS − NBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.341.0−3.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShypilovNapirkoBasisWin rate · lifetime368 / 810 vs 425 / 85145.4%49.9%368 / 810 vs 425 / 851Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NapirkoShypilov 2.00/Napirko 1.73
Miss
What we said
56.9%
Napirko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Shypilov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 20:15A. Shypilov321111281O. Napirko3941311113
LSep 13 · 07:05A. Shypilov48111261092O. Napirko539101112113
WSep 12 · 13:05A. Shypilov341111123O. Napirko1936100
LSep 9 · 24:45A. Shypilov28741251O. Napirko43111110113
LAug 27 · 24:45A. Shypilov3611511272O. Napirko50911811113
WAug 22 · 18:35A. Shypilov45119113113O. Napirko4571191172
LAug 19 · 23:45A. Shypilov219840O. Napirko331111113
WAug 14 · 24:45A. Shypilov4051112123O. Napirko4011910101
WAug 9 · 09:35A. Shypilov5715101110113O. Napirko48131261252
LAug 5 · 02:15A. Shypilov32861171O. Napirko4011117113
A. Shypilov10
LSep 17 · 20:15A. Shypilov2.105550N. Kovalchuk1.671111113LSep 17 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.91121181172O. Mitla1.80146119113WSep 17 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.25117118113O. Hura1.5791171192LSep 16 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.631148121S. Berezynskyi1.4471111143LSep 16 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.10812111172N. Kovalchuk1.67111487113LSep 16 · 20:15A. Shypilov2.7513811682R. Lazebnyi1.401111611113WSep 16 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.838111011133O. Mitla1.83119128112LSep 16 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.101191171V. Vlasenko1.6791113113WSep 15 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.2011511113N. Kovalchuk1.61611971LSep 15 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.38411571R. Lazebnyi1.5311911113
O. Napirko10
WSep 17 · 20:45O. Mitla3.2567120O. Napirko1.331111143WSep 16 · 02:45V. Vlasenko1.8311511872O. Napirko1.83911511113WSep 16 · 01:45R. Lazebnyi1.5737111192O. Napirko2.25111197113LSep 16 · 24:15O. Mitla3.4011127113O. Napirko1.309101181LSep 15 · 22:15N. Kovalchuk1.5311114113O. Napirko2.38561171WSep 15 · 20:15A. Shypilov2.001111281O. Napirko1.7341311113LSep 13 · 10:35V. Boyko2.254131011123O. Napirko1.571111128112WSep 13 · 09:35O. Napirko1.8071112113V. Vlasenko1.911141081WSep 13 · 08:35O. Napirko1.30911119113O. Mitla3.4011791122WSep 13 · 07:05O. Napirko1.809101112113A. Shypilov1.91111261092
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