TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155125
Played Sep 19Finished
Vitalii Boyko
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11131191412105––
Valerii Vlasenko
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:11 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeVitalii Boyko to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Boyko above · Valerii Vlasenko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 10-5
Point 85 set 4, 10-5 — our read held Vitalii Boyko at 57.7%
85 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Boyko 66–28 Valerii Vlasenko Valerii Vlasenko has won 28 of their 94 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:11What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Boyko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
66-28 in 94
Boyko
Correct
gap of 38 in 94, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boyko 1524 vs Vlasenko 1584
Vlasenko
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boyko 60% vs Vlasenko 80%
Vlasenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boyko 50% vs Vlasenko 70%
Vlasenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Boyko +3 · Vlasenko +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Boyko) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vlasenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoyko 1.57 / Vlasenko 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Boyko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13155125
Boyko1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 35 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it76% 25 of 33
Vlasenko2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 126 of 307
Down 0–1, comes back22% 34 of 156
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBoyko7wins
AwayVlasenko3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderBoyko leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoyko60%3 of 5
AwayVlasenko20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boyko5Vlasenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Boyko5Vlasenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Boyko4Vlasenko6n = 10Vlasenko took 6 of 10
S4Boyko6Vlasenko4n = 10Boyko took 6 of 10
S5Boyko5Vlasenko1n = 6Boyko took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBoykoVlasenkoB − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match45.342.9+2.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoykoVlasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 480 vs 407 / 91846.5%44.3%223 / 480 vs 407 / 918Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoykoBoyko 1.57/Vlasenko 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Boyko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Boyko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 07:35V. Boyko371110791V. Vlasenko4171211113
WSep 12 · 24:30V. Boyko521111811113V. Vlasenko4571311682
WAug 22 · 24:30V. Boyko4516117113V. Vlasenko301431121
LAug 16 · 09:05V. Boyko341111751V. Vlasenko4113611113
LAug 15 · 14:35V. Boyko4911913882V. Vlasenko495111111113
WAug 2 · 09:05V. Boyko505111211113V. Vlasenko4711614882
WJun 20 · 24:30V. Boyko4291111113V. Vlasenko30119551
WJun 5 · 22:30V. Boyko39112411113V. Vlasenko4051111582
WMay 31 · 09:35V. Boyko521411115113V. Vlasenko4816871162
WMay 30 · 16:35V. Boyko53922011113V. Vlasenko58111118992
V. Boyko10
WSep 19 · 12:35V. Boyko2.5012118113N. Kovalchuk1.501071191WSep 13 · 10:35V. Boyko2.254131011123O. Napirko1.571111128112WSep 13 · 09:05V. Boyko2.101111113A. Shypilov1.673590LSep 13 · 07:35V. Boyko1.671110791V. Vlasenko2.1071211113LSep 13 · 06:05V. Boyko2.101012611112S. Kalenyk1.671210114133LSep 13 · 04:35V. Boyko1.73851111102O. Mitla2.00111188123LSep 12 · 18:05V. Boyko1.572570O. Mitla2.251111113LSep 12 · 16:35V. Boyko2.1061251152A. Shypilov1.671110117113WSep 12 · 15:05V. Boyko2.101111811113O. Napirko1.6751311892WSep 12 · 13:35V. Boyko1.9198111343S. Kalenyk1.80111151122
V. Vlasenko10
LSep 19 · 15:35V. Vlasenko2.251111861N. Kovalchuk1.5791311113WSep 19 · 13:05V. Vlasenko1.831111123O. Napirko1.8347100WSep 18 · 02:45V. Vlasenko2.50121135113N. Kovalchuk1.50107111182WSep 18 · 24:45A. Shypilov1.9111911792V. Vlasenko1.80511911113LSep 17 · 23:45V. Vlasenko1.8399111272O. Napirko1.831111910113WSep 17 · 22:45O. Mitla1.8011610101V. Vlasenko1.9191112123LSep 17 · 21:15V. Vlasenko2.208111171R. Lazebnyi1.6111813113LSep 16 · 02:45V. Vlasenko1.8311511872O. Napirko1.83911511113WSep 16 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.101191171V. Vlasenko1.6791113113WSep 13 · 07:35V. Boyko1.671110791V. Vlasenko2.1071211113
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