TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155576
Played Sep 19Finished
Vitalii Boyko
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210117811119––
Nazar Kovalchuk
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:11 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeNazar Kovalchuk to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Boyko above · Nazar Kovalchuk below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 79 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Nazar Kovalchuk at 66.1%
79 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Boyko 7–9 Nazar Kovalchuk Vitalii Boyko has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:11What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kovalchuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Kovalchuk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boyko 1507 vs Kovalchuk 1671
Kovalchuk
Wrong
both rated, 164 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boyko 40% vs Kovalchuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boyko 50% vs Kovalchuk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Boyko +2 · Kovalchuk -3
Kovalchuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kovalchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovalchuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoyko 2.50 / Kovalchuk 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Kovalchuk)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13155576
Boyko2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 13)
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 33 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back25% 15 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33
Kovalchuk1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 18)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 156 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it73% 104 of 143
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBoyko4wins
AwayKovalchuk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKovalchuk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoyko33.3%1 of 3
AwayKovalchuk57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boyko3Kovalchuk7n = 10Kovalchuk took 7 of 10
S2Boyko5Kovalchuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Boyko5Kovalchuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Boyko5Kovalchuk4n = 9Boyko took 5 of 9
S5Boyko1Kovalchuk2n = 3Kovalchuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBoykoKovalchukB − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.440.0−3.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoykoKovalchukBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 484 vs 382 / 74145.9%51.6%222 / 484 vs 382 / 741Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovalchukBoyko 2.50/Kovalchuk 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Kovalchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Boyko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 2 · 06:05V. Boyko162860N. Kovalchuk331111113
WAug 1 · 17:35V. Boyko3712113113N. Kovalchuk351061181
LJul 31 · 21:00V. Boyko26118161N. Kovalchuk4291111113
LMay 2 · 24:30V. Boyko38911991N. Kovalchuk3811511113
WApr 25 · 24:30V. Boyko4871114163N. Kovalchuk4111412141
WApr 18 · 19:05V. Boyko3851111113N. Kovalchuk30117751
LMar 22 · 11:35V. Boyko26411651N. Kovalchuk3711411113
LMar 21 · 14:05V. Boyko4367111182N. Kovalchuk48111178113
LMar 14 · 16:05V. Boyko4111411782N. Kovalchuk45511711113
WFeb 27 · 22:00V. Boyko51881112123N. Kovalchuk511111910102
V. Boyko10
WSep 13 · 10:35V. Boyko2.254131011123O. Napirko1.571111128112WSep 13 · 09:05V. Boyko2.101111113A. Shypilov1.673590LSep 13 · 07:35V. Boyko1.671110791V. Vlasenko2.1071211113LSep 13 · 06:05V. Boyko2.101012611112S. Kalenyk1.671210114133LSep 13 · 04:35V. Boyko1.73851111102O. Mitla2.00111188123LSep 12 · 18:05V. Boyko1.572570O. Mitla2.251111113LSep 12 · 16:35V. Boyko2.1061251152A. Shypilov1.671110117113WSep 12 · 15:05V. Boyko2.101111811113O. Napirko1.6751311892WSep 12 · 13:35V. Boyko1.9198111343S. Kalenyk1.80111151122WSep 12 · 12:05V. Boyko1.671071111113M. Smyrnov2.1012117642
N. Kovalchuk10
LSep 19 · 13:35A. Shypilov2.1011911103N. Kovalchuk1.67711891LSep 18 · 02:45V. Vlasenko2.50121135113N. Kovalchuk1.50107111182LSep 18 · 01:45O. Napirko2.5011311113N. Kovalchuk1.50511751LSep 18 · 24:15O. Mitla3.2511811113N. Kovalchuk1.33511871WSep 17 · 22:15R. Lazebnyi2.20101111872N. Kovalchuk1.61126711113WSep 17 · 20:15A. Shypilov2.105550N. Kovalchuk1.671111113WSep 17 · 03:15S. Berezynskyi2.251110114132N. Kovalchuk1.57412811153WSep 17 · 01:45N. Kovalchuk1.57651111113R. Lazebnyi2.2511118672WSep 16 · 23:45O. Hura2.10114111182N. Kovalchuk1.67711913113WSep 16 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.10812111172N. Kovalchuk1.67111487113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.