TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13156186
Played Sep 19Finished
Vitalii Boyko
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171199111214108
Ruslan Lazebnyi
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:47 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeRuslan Lazebnyi to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Boyko above · Ruslan Lazebnyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 10-8
Point 102 set 5, 10-8 — our read held Ruslan Lazebnyi at 58.5%
102 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Boyko 1–1 Ruslan Lazebnyi Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:47What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Lazebnyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Boyko 1570 vs Lazebnyi 1631
Lazebnyi
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boyko 80% vs Lazebnyi 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boyko 50% vs Lazebnyi 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Boyko +4 · Lazebnyi +2
Boyko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Lazebnyi) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lazebnyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoyko 2.20 / Lazebnyi 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Lazebnyi)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13156186
Boyko2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 33 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back25% 15 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33
Lazebnyi1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 42 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it72% 31 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBoyko1wins
AwayLazebnyi1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBoykoLazebnyiB − LBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match37.044.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoykoLazebnyiBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 481 vs 70 / 14046.6%50%224 / 481 vs 70 / 140Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LazebnyiBoyko 2.20/Lazebnyi 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Lazebnyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Boyko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 2 · 04:35V. Boyko28771131R. Lazebnyi4211119113
WAug 1 · 12:06V. Boyko46661111123R. Lazebnyi46111177102
V. Boyko10
LSep 19 · 17:05V. Boyko2.383660O. Napirko1.531111113WSep 19 · 14:35V. Boyko1.57111114103V. Vlasenko2.251391251WSep 19 · 12:35V. Boyko2.5012118113N. Kovalchuk1.501071191WSep 13 · 10:35V. Boyko2.254131011123O. Napirko1.571111128112WSep 13 · 09:05V. Boyko2.101111113A. Shypilov1.673590LSep 13 · 07:35V. Boyko1.671110791V. Vlasenko2.1071211113LSep 13 · 06:05V. Boyko2.101012611112S. Kalenyk1.671210114133LSep 13 · 04:35V. Boyko1.73851111102O. Mitla2.00111188123LSep 12 · 18:05V. Boyko1.572570O. Mitla2.251111113LSep 12 · 16:35V. Boyko2.1061251152A. Shypilov1.671110117113
R. Lazebnyi10
WSep 19 · 14:05O. Napirko1.911211101082R. Lazebnyi1.801081212103WSep 19 · 12:05A. Shypilov2.754750R. Lazebnyi1.401111113LSep 18 · 03:15R. Lazebnyi1.675690O. Napirko2.101111113WSep 18 · 01:15O. Mitla2.757118101R. Lazebnyi1.4011611123WSep 17 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.636980R. Lazebnyi1.441111113LSep 17 · 22:15R. Lazebnyi2.20101111872N. Kovalchuk1.61126711113WSep 17 · 21:15V. Vlasenko2.208111171R. Lazebnyi1.6111813113LSep 17 · 02:45O. Hura1.80118113133R. Lazebnyi1.91711511112LSep 17 · 01:45N. Kovalchuk1.57651111113R. Lazebnyi2.2511118672WSep 17 · 24:15O. Mitla3.00941191R. Lazebnyi1.3611115113
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