TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155000
Played Sep 19Finished
Oleksandr Sydorchuk
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511117111311113
Taras Gil
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:24 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeTaras Gil to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Sydorchuk above · Taras Gil below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-1
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 74 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Taras Gil at 70.7%
74 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Sydorchuk 2–6 Taras Gil Oleksandr Sydorchuk has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:24What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Gil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Gil
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 1513 vs Gil 1552
Gil
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 20% vs Gil 60%
Gil
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 50% vs Gil 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk +1 · Gil -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Gil) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gil form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 3.00 / Gil 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Gil)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13155000
Sydorchuk3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 34 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back20% 11 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Gil1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 41 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it78% 32 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSydorchuk2wins
AwayGil6wins
2 of 8 to a deciderGil leads 6–2, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorchukn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayGil71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk1Gil7n = 8Gil took 7 of 8
S2Sydorchuk4Gil4n = 8split evenly
S3Sydorchuk2Gil6n = 8Gil took 6 of 8
S4Sydorchuk3Gil3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricSydorchukGilS − GBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set17−6of 8Avg pointsper match32.639.4−6.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukGilBasisWin rate · lifetime161 / 304 vs 124 / 21953%56.6%161 / 304 vs 124 / 219Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GilSydorchuk 3.00/Gil 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.2%
Gil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sydorchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 11 · 24:15O. Sydorchuk129030T. Gil331111113
LSep 6 · 11:25O. Sydorchuk216690T. Gil331111113
LSep 4 · 22:15O. Sydorchuk45910111142T. Gil45111247113
WJul 18 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk47911511113T. Gil4711911882
LJun 7 · 04:55O. Sydorchuk32711591T. Gil4111811113
LMay 3 · 07:55O. Sydorchuk331341061T. Gil45111112113
WApr 19 · 08:55O. Sydorchuk3961111113T. Gil31113981
LJan 1 · 17:55O. Sydorchuk32411981T. Gil4011711113
O. Sydorchuk10
LSep 19 · 16:25S. Prus1.7369121193O. Sydorchuk2.00111110582WSep 19 · 14:25D. Palii1.611286101O. Sydorchuk2.20101111102WSep 19 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk1.8311118123I. Kvak1.834411101LSep 19 · 24:45S. Prus1.911212113O. Sydorchuk1.80101070LSep 18 · 23:15O. Sydorchuk2.201211911112D. Palii1.61149115133LSep 18 · 21:45O. Sydorchuk1.91711412112V. Korobko1.801181110133LSep 18 · 20:15O. Sydorchuk2.2573100M. Slozka1.571111123WSep 11 · 02:15M. Slozka1.441111101142O. Sydorchuk2.63137125113WSep 11 · 01:15O. Sydorchuk2.101615117113I. Fashchevskyi1.67141761192LSep 11 · 24:15O. Sydorchuk2.639030T. Gil1.441111113
T. Gil10
LSep 19 · 13:25S. Prus3.0011119103T. Gil1.36741151LSep 19 · 12:25D. Palii2.38101111113T. Gil1.53128891WSep 12 · 10:55V. Kuzmych2.209511111T. Gil1.6111119133WSep 12 · 09:55M. Slozka2.0012911852T. Gil1.731011711113WSep 12 · 08:25S. Prus3.007711101T. Gil1.3611119123LSep 12 · 06:25D. Maltsev2.25111211113T. Gil1.57814781WSep 12 · 04:25D. Palii2.0011530T. Gil1.731311113WSep 11 · 02:45S. Prus3.0011911652T. Gil1.36911611113LSep 11 · 01:45D. Palii2.501111113T. Gil1.509850WSep 11 · 24:15O. Sydorchuk2.639030T. Gil1.441111113
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