TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155130
Played Sep 19Finished
Serhii Prus
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117114911105––
Taras Gil
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:12 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeTaras Gil to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Prus above · Taras Gil below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-5
Point 68 set 4, 10-5 — our read held Taras Gil at 73.2%
68 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Prus 6–18 Taras Gil Serhii Prus has won 6 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:12What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Gil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-18 in 24
Gil
Wrong
gap of 12 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prus 1431 vs Gil 1561
Gil
Wrong
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prus 60% vs Gil 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prus 50% vs Gil 70%
Gil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prus +3 · Gil -1
Prus
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Gil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gil form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrus 3.00 / Gil 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Gil)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13155130
Prus3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 43 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back18% 7 of 39
Gil1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 41 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it78% 32 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrus2wins
AwayGil8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGil leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrus25%1 of 4
AwayGil83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prus4Gil6n = 10Gil took 6 of 10
S2Prus3Gil7n = 10Gil took 7 of 10
S3Prus4Gil6n = 10Gil took 6 of 10
S4Prus4Gil5n = 9Gil took 5 of 9
S5Prus1Gil3n = 4Gil took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrusGilP − GBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.642.5−6.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrusGilBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 411 vs 125 / 21947.7%57.1%196 / 411 vs 125 / 219Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GilPrus 3.00/Gil 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.2%
Gil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Prus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 08:25S. Prus357711101T. Gil4311119123
LSep 11 · 02:45S. Prus4211911652T. Gil48911611113
LSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus196940T. Gil331111113
WSep 4 · 20:15S. Prus40411311113T. Gil4211411882
LJul 26 · 06:55S. Prus4591171172T. Gil48119116113
LJul 25 · 17:55S. Prus26116451T. Gil3961111113
LJul 25 · 02:15S. Prus29551181T. Gil4111118113
LJul 18 · 14:55S. Prus4276111352T. Gil481111411113
WJul 15 · 16:25S. Prus4211136123T. Gil4081111101
LFeb 21 · 18:55S. Prus361196101T. Gil4391111123
S. Prus10
WSep 19 · 14:55S. Prus2.251111113I. Kvak1.576650WSep 19 · 11:55S. Prus2.631191113113M. Slozka1.4481181522WSep 19 · 01:49V. Korobko1.530411111S. Prus2.3811114133WSep 19 · 24:45S. Prus1.911212113O. Sydorchuk1.80101070LSep 18 · 23:45S. Prus2.257131281V. Korobko1.57111510113LSep 18 · 22:15S. Prus2.101141061D. Palii1.6751112113LSep 18 · 21:15S. Prus2.509540M. Slozka1.501111113WSep 12 · 10:25D. Palii1.57121165132S. Prus2.251081111153LSep 12 · 09:25S. Prus3.255450D. Maltsev1.331111113LSep 12 · 08:25S. Prus3.007711101T. Gil1.3611119123
T. Gil10
LSep 19 · 12:25D. Palii2.38101111113T. Gil1.53128891WSep 12 · 10:55V. Kuzmych2.209511111T. Gil1.6111119133WSep 12 · 09:55M. Slozka2.0012911852T. Gil1.731011711113WSep 12 · 08:25S. Prus3.007711101T. Gil1.3611119123LSep 12 · 06:25D. Maltsev2.25111211113T. Gil1.57814781WSep 12 · 04:25D. Palii2.0011530T. Gil1.731311113WSep 11 · 02:45S. Prus3.0011911652T. Gil1.36911611113LSep 11 · 01:45D. Palii2.501111113T. Gil1.509850WSep 11 · 24:15O. Sydorchuk2.639030T. Gil1.441111113WSep 10 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi2.7589121192T. Gil1.401111108113
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