TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13143463
Played Sep 16Finished
Radek Muller
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121181012113116
Tomas Rein
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingRadek Muller above · Tomas Rein below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 94 set 5, 11-6
94 points played in total.
H2H Radek Muller 2–3 Tomas Rein Radek Muller has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Muller beat Rein 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Muller)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rein form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMuller 1.28 / Rein 3.50
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Muller)-0.4pp
TT Cup · #13143463
Muller1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 34 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it72% 26 of 36
Rein3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 88 of 265
Down 0–1, comes back21% 35 of 168
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMuller2wins
AwayRein3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderRein leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMuller66.7%2 of 3
AwayReinn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Muller3Rein2n = 5Muller took 3 of 5
S2Muller2Rein3n = 5Rein took 3 of 5
S3Muller3Rein2n = 5Muller took 3 of 5
S4Muller2Rein1n = 3Muller took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricMullerReinM − RBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match39.437.0+2.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMullerReinBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 331 vs 388 / 84450.2%46%166 / 331 vs 388 / 844Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MullerMuller 1.28/Rein 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.7%
Muller · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Muller won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 16 · 20:25R. Muller44111111113T. Rein37713891
LAug 23 · 21:28R. Muller4411981152T. Rein50911118113
LAug 23 · 18:20R. Muller50911111092T. Rein42114412113
WJul 3 · 19:25R. Muller361111143T. Rein2347120
LJun 5 · 06:55R. Muller236980T. Rein331111113
R. Muller10
LSep 16 · 20:55C. Kratochvil1.6713111143R. Muller2.1011118121WSep 16 · 20:25T. Rein2.00713891R. Muller1.73111111113WSep 16 · 19:25R. Muller1.731112113J. Cousin2.0011030WSep 14 · 10:05F. Marat2.104780R. Muller1.651111113LSep 14 · 08:55R. Muller1.9175111152M. Filipek1.80111197113LSep 14 · 07:55R. Muller1.61810111162F. Marat2.20111292113LSep 14 · 06:55R. Muller1.838490A. Kral1.831111113LSep 8 · 10:25R. Jamrich1.8011811173R. Muller1.919118151LSep 8 · 09:25R. Jamrich1.9111118113R. Muller1.80741191WSep 8 · 08:25R. Muller1.611111113P. Chlumsky2.208530
T. Rein10
WSep 16 · 21:25J. Cousin1.5741111992T. Rein2.25119411113LSep 16 · 20:25T. Rein2.00713891R. Muller1.73111111113WSep 16 · 18:55C. Kratochvil1.2841060T. Rein3.501112113LSep 16 · 13:59V. Koutnik1.6111115113T. Rein2.20951181LSep 16 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.61118711113T. Rein2.2051111572LSep 16 · 12:25F. Dvorak1.331111113T. Rein3.253560LSep 16 · 11:25T. Rein2.25118851S. Holik1.5761111113LSep 15 · 17:50T. Rein2.40920491D. Zelezny1.50111811113WSep 15 · 16:50A. Jr1.835740T. Rein1.831111113WSep 15 · 15:50T. Rein2.7591311113D. Zelezny1.401111941
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