TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142790
Played Sep 17Finished
Dmytro Neborak
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115711511911––
Oleksandr Ivchuk
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Neborak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Neborak above · Oleksandr Ivchuk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 70 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Dmytro Neborak at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Neborak 24–13 Oleksandr Ivchuk Oleksandr Ivchuk has won 13 of their 37 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:23What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Ivchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-13 in 37
Neborak
Wrong
gap of 11 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Neborak 1660 vs Ivchuk 1743
Ivchuk
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Neborak 20% vs Ivchuk 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Neborak 30% vs Ivchuk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Neborak -2 · Ivchuk -3
Ivchuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Neborak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivchuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNeborak 1.83 / Ivchuk 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Neborak)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13142790
Neborak1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Ivchuk1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNeborak5wins
AwayIvchuk5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNeborak60%3 of 5
AwayIvchuk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Neborak5Ivchuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Neborak6Ivchuk4n = 10Neborak took 6 of 10
S3Neborak6Ivchuk4n = 10Neborak took 6 of 10
S4Neborak3Ivchuk4n = 7Ivchuk took 4 of 7
S5Neborak2Ivchuk3n = 5Ivchuk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNeborakIvchukN − IBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.838.2+0.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNeborakIvchukBasisWin rate · lifetime304 / 830 vs 358 / 52536.6%68.2%304 / 830 vs 358 / 525Avg sets wonper match1.72.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvchukNeborak 1.83/Ivchuk 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Neborak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ivchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 08:05D. Neborak3711311572O. Ivchuk49811811113
LAug 12 · 15:00D. Neborak46811116102O. Ivchuk51118911123
LAug 8 · 07:50D. Neborak4612912672O. Ivchuk5310111011113
LAug 7 · 14:00D. Neborak341311731O. Ivchuk4015311113
WJul 30 · 09:20D. Neborak341111123O. Ivchuk2899100
WJul 29 · 12:00D. Neborak3741111113O. Ivchuk27115921
LJun 5 · 18:20D. Neborak249960O. Ivchuk331111113
WMay 23 · 08:50D. Neborak331111113O. Ivchuk157440
WMay 22 · 16:50D. Neborak511110811113O. Ivchuk4591211582
WMay 16 · 12:20D. Neborak46811511113O. Ivchuk4111611762
D. Neborak10
LSep 17 · 18:00D. Neborak4.50118991O. Zhurba1.1771111113LSep 17 · 15:00D. Neborak1.731212128122O. Pavlyuk2.0014101011143LSep 17 · 13:30D. Neborak3.25911591O. Bondarchuk1.3311711113WSep 17 · 12:00D. Neborak1.57115712113I. Hermakivskyi2.25811111092LSep 13 · 09:30D. Neborak2.6399141892S. Hohenko1.4411111216113LSep 13 · 08:30D. Neborak2.2091180O. Shkurupii1.611113113LSep 13 · 08:00D. Neborak4.5011411972O. Zhurba1.17911611113LSep 13 · 07:00O. Zhurba1.17111111113D. Neborak4.50136271WSep 13 · 06:00O. Shkurupii1.61119101142D. Neborak2.20811123113LSep 13 · 04:30S. Hohenko1.5011113113D. Neborak2.50451151
O. Ivchuk10
LSep 17 · 15:30O. Ivchuk3.756690O. Bondarchuk1.251111113LSep 17 · 14:30O. Zhurba1.40981114113O. Ivchuk2.75111131272LSep 17 · 13:00O. Ivchuk1.6111119832O. Pavlyuk2.20691111113WAug 21 · 17:44O. Ivchuk1.83211119133D. Neborak1.83118711112LAug 21 · 16:00O. Ivchuk1.508880I. Hermakivskyi2.501111113WAug 21 · 15:00D. Neborak1.7311411762O. Ivchuk2.00911811113WAug 21 · 14:00A. Tkachenko2.2011911111O. Ivchuk1.6181113133LAug 21 · 12:30O. Bondarchuk1.2511612113O. Ivchuk3.753111071LAug 13 · 10:44O. Ivchuk3.75115851O. Bondarchuk1.2561111113WAug 13 · 09:05O. Ivchuk1.8371111113O. Belskyi1.83118551
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.