TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13126699
Played Sep 14Finished
Polina Pashchenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411811511––––
Ulana Dronova
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:42 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timePolina Pashchenko to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPolina Pashchenko above · Ulana Dronova below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 50 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Polina Pashchenko at 58.6%
50 points played in total.
H2H Polina Pashchenko 2–0 Ulana Dronova Ulana Dronova has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 21:42What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pashchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pashchenko 1604 vs Dronova 1533
Pashchenko
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pashchenko 60% vs Dronova 40%
Pashchenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pashchenko 50% vs Dronova 30%
Pashchenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pashchenko -2 · Dronova -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Pashchenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPashchenko 1.67 / Dronova 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Pashchenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup Women · #13126699
Pashchenko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 51 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it83% 40 of 48
Dronova2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog8% won 1 of 12
Down 0–1, comes back14% 1 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePashchenko2wins
AwayDronova0wins
Pashchenko leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPashchenkoDronovaP − DBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match44.035.5+8.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPashchenkoDronovaBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 139 vs 41 / 9554%43.2%75 / 139 vs 41 / 95Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.935.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PashchenkoPashchenko 1.67/Dronova 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.6%
Pashchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dronova won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 13 · 14:40P. Pashchenko44111111113U. Dronova34513971
WAug 21 · 04:30P. Pashchenko4411157113U. Dronova376131171
P. Pashchenko10
LSep 14 · 06:00P. Pashchenko2.1051181162S. Yureneva1.67117117113LSep 14 · 04:30P. Pashchenko1.731110531A. Rzhevska2.0081211113WSep 13 · 17:10V. Kurtenko1.83811411P. Pashchenko1.8311811103WSep 13 · 16:10A. Rzhevska1.83713841P. Pashchenko1.83111111113WSep 13 · 14:40U. Dronova1.91513971P. Pashchenko1.80111111113WSep 13 · 12:40A. Kurtenko1.50111051182P. Pashchenko2.50712119113WSep 13 · 10:40S. Yureneva1.5312115101P. Pashchenko2.3814411123LSep 10 · 10:30N. Plokhotniuk1.221111113P. Pashchenko4.007150LSep 10 · 09:30P. Pashchenko6.50117531A. Ovriakh1.1081111113LSep 10 · 08:30P. Pashchenko2.25711981R. Budnyk1.5711611113
U. Dronova10
LSep 14 · 06:30U. Dronova2.50111081172A. Rzhevska1.50412118113WSep 14 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk3.2511112111U. Dronova1.3313811133WSep 13 · 16:40S. Yureneva3.00912971U. Dronova1.36111011113LSep 13 · 15:40U. Dronova1.834460A. Kurtenko1.83111162LSep 13 · 14:40U. Dronova1.91513971P. Pashchenko1.80111111113LSep 13 · 13:10U. Dronova1.40119381V. Kurtenko2.7581111113LSep 13 · 11:10U. Dronova2.10512871A. Rzhevska1.67111011113WAug 21 · 09:00Y. Mykhailyk3.40136811102U. Dronova1.301111115123LAug 21 · 07:30U. Dronova1.801250A. Rzhevska1.911111113LAug 21 · 06:00U. Dronova1.30118111382S. Yureneva3.40611715113
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