TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13123202
Played Sep 13Finished
Viktoria Kurtenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811118411110––
Polina Pashchenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeViktoria Kurtenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingViktoria Kurtenko above · Polina Pashchenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 1-10
Point 64 set 4, 1-10 — our read held Viktoria Kurtenko at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Viktoria Kurtenko 5–7 Polina Pashchenko Viktoria Kurtenko has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:13What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Pashchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Pashchenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1569 vs Pashchenko 1622
Pashchenko
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 60% vs Pashchenko 80%
Pashchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 60% vs Pashchenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko +1 · Pashchenko +4
Pashchenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pashchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pashchenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 1.83 / Pashchenko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pashchenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #13123202
Kurtenko1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Pashchenko1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurtenko5wins
AwayPashchenko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko50%3 of 6
AwayPashchenko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko6Pashchenko4n = 10Kurtenko took 6 of 10
S2Kurtenko7Pashchenko3n = 10Kurtenko took 7 of 10
S3Kurtenko5Pashchenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Kurtenko3Pashchenko4n = 7Pashchenko took 4 of 7
S5Kurtenko1Pashchenko3n = 4Pashchenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurtenkoPashchenkoK − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.835.2+4.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoPashchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime97 / 185 vs 74 / 13652.4%54.4%97 / 185 vs 74 / 136Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.135.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PashchenkoKurtenko 1.83/Pashchenko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pashchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pashchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko45111113552P. Pashchenko49481511113
WAug 16 · 14:10V. Kurtenko331111113P. Pashchenko181890
WAug 9 · 16:08V. Kurtenko47691111103P. Pashchenko4411116972
LAug 9 · 11:40V. Kurtenko4411119762P. Pashchenko45571111113
LAug 4 · 07:00V. Kurtenko2791080P. Pashchenko341112113
WJul 30 · 07:00V. Kurtenko351113113P. Pashchenko2261150
WJul 26 · 09:49V. Kurtenko4071111113P. Pashchenko24116341
LJul 26 · 07:00V. Kurtenko52111191292P. Pashchenko44171114113
WJul 21 · 08:30V. Kurtenko4211119113P. Pashchenko33761191
LJun 9 · 09:05V. Kurtenko33961171P. Pashchenko3911116113
V. Kurtenko10
WSep 13 · 15:10S. Yureneva2.00117781V. Kurtenko1.7361111113LSep 13 · 14:10V. Kurtenko3.00119591A. Rzhevska1.3671111103WSep 13 · 13:10U. Dronova1.40119381V. Kurtenko2.7581111113LSep 13 · 11:40V. Kurtenko1.8311811592A. Kurtenko1.83911911113WSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770LSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.301111113Y. Mykhailyk3.405760WSep 1 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.006990LAug 20 · 16:40A. Kurtenko1.6781111113V. Kurtenko2.10114571
P. Pashchenko10
WSep 13 · 16:10A. Rzhevska1.83713841P. Pashchenko1.83111111113WSep 13 · 14:40U. Dronova1.91513971P. Pashchenko1.80111111113WSep 13 · 12:40A. Kurtenko1.50111051182P. Pashchenko2.50712119113WSep 13 · 10:40S. Yureneva1.5312115101P. Pashchenko2.3814411123LSep 10 · 10:30N. Plokhotniuk1.221111113P. Pashchenko4.007150LSep 10 · 09:30P. Pashchenko6.50117531A. Ovriakh1.1081111113LSep 10 · 08:30P. Pashchenko2.25711981R. Budnyk1.5711611113LSep 10 · 07:00P. Pashchenko6.50911741I. Yevtodii1.1011911113WSep 10 · 05:00P. Pashchenko1.9114911133A. Rzhevska1.8012117111WSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113
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