TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13126696
Played Sep 14Finished
Polina Pashchenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151311711116––
Viktoria Kurtenko
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:38 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timePolina Pashchenko to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPolina Pashchenko above · Viktoria Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 75 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Polina Pashchenko at 57.4%
75 points played in total.
H2H Polina Pashchenko 8–5 Viktoria Kurtenko Viktoria Kurtenko has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:38What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pashchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Pashchenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pashchenko 1571 vs Kurtenko 1507
Pashchenko
Correct
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pashchenko 20% vs Kurtenko 0%
Pashchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pashchenko 50% vs Kurtenko 30%
Pashchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pashchenko -4 · Kurtenko -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Pashchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurtenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPashchenko 1.73 / Kurtenko 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Pashchenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup Women · #13126696
Pashchenko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 51 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it83% 40 of 48
Kurtenko2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog28% won 11 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back23% 5 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePashchenko5wins
AwayKurtenko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePashchenko50%2 of 4
AwayKurtenko50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pashchenko4Kurtenko6n = 10Kurtenko took 6 of 10
S2Pashchenko2Kurtenko8n = 10Kurtenko took 8 of 10
S3Pashchenko6Kurtenko4n = 10Pashchenko took 6 of 10
S4Pashchenko4Kurtenko3n = 7Pashchenko took 4 of 7
S5Pashchenko3Kurtenko1n = 4Pashchenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPashchenkoKurtenkoP − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.338.9−3.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPashchenkoKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 141 vs 97 / 19053.2%51.1%75 / 141 vs 97 / 190Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.736.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PashchenkoPashchenko 1.73/Kurtenko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Pashchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pashchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 17:10P. Pashchenko4011811103V. Kurtenko24811411
WSep 1 · 08:30P. Pashchenko49481511113V. Kurtenko45111113552
LAug 16 · 14:10P. Pashchenko181890V. Kurtenko331111113
LAug 9 · 16:08P. Pashchenko4411116972V. Kurtenko47691111103
WAug 9 · 11:40P. Pashchenko45571111113V. Kurtenko4411119762
WAug 4 · 07:00P. Pashchenko341112113V. Kurtenko2791080
LJul 30 · 07:00P. Pashchenko2261150V. Kurtenko351113113
LJul 26 · 09:49P. Pashchenko24116341V. Kurtenko4071111113
WJul 26 · 07:00P. Pashchenko44171114113V. Kurtenko52111191292
LJul 21 · 08:30P. Pashchenko33761191V. Kurtenko4211119113
P. Pashchenko10
LSep 14 · 09:00P. Pashchenko1.913117101Y. Mykhailyk1.8011511123LSep 14 · 07:30P. Pashchenko1.674850U. Dronova2.101111113LSep 14 · 06:00P. Pashchenko2.1051181162S. Yureneva1.67117117113LSep 14 · 04:30P. Pashchenko1.731110531A. Rzhevska2.0081211113WSep 13 · 17:10V. Kurtenko1.83811411P. Pashchenko1.8311811103WSep 13 · 16:10A. Rzhevska1.83713841P. Pashchenko1.83111111113WSep 13 · 14:40U. Dronova1.91513971P. Pashchenko1.80111111113WSep 13 · 12:40A. Kurtenko1.50111051182P. Pashchenko2.50712119113WSep 13 · 10:40S. Yureneva1.5312115101P. Pashchenko2.3814411123LSep 10 · 10:30N. Plokhotniuk1.221111113P. Pashchenko4.007150
V. Kurtenko10
LSep 14 · 09:30V. Kurtenko2.2511119132U. Dronova1.57291111113LSep 14 · 08:30V. Kurtenko3.2511119662A. Rzhevska1.33991111113LSep 14 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.289131161Y. Mykhailyk3.5011155113LSep 14 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.67113951S. Yureneva2.1041111113LSep 13 · 17:10V. Kurtenko1.83811411P. Pashchenko1.8311811103WSep 13 · 15:10S. Yureneva2.00117781V. Kurtenko1.7361111113LSep 13 · 14:10V. Kurtenko3.00119591A. Rzhevska1.3671111103WSep 13 · 13:10U. Dronova1.40119381V. Kurtenko2.7581111113LSep 13 · 11:40V. Kurtenko1.8311811592A. Kurtenko1.83911911113WSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123
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