TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13126700
Played Sep 14Finished
Viktoria Kurtenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114311911511––
Svitlana Yureneva
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:43 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeViktoria Kurtenko to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingViktoria Kurtenko above · Svitlana Yureneva below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 65 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Viktoria Kurtenko at 56.6%
65 points played in total.
H2H Viktoria Kurtenko 12–16 Svitlana Yureneva Viktoria Kurtenko has won 12 of their 28 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 14h before this match
Kurtenko beat Yureneva 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:43What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kurtenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-16 in 28
Yureneva
Correct
gap of 4 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1558 vs Yureneva 1480
Kurtenko
Wrong
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 40% vs Yureneva 20%
Kurtenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 60% vs Yureneva 40%
Kurtenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko -1 · Yureneva -3
Yureneva
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kurtenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yureneva form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 1.67 / Yureneva 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kurtenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup Women · #13126700
Kurtenko1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 49 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Yureneva2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 19 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back13% 4 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurtenko6wins
AwayYureneva4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKurtenko leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko100%5 of 5
AwayYureneva80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko5Yureneva5n = 10split evenly
S2Kurtenko5Yureneva5n = 10split evenly
S3Kurtenko7Yureneva3n = 10Kurtenko took 7 of 10
S4Kurtenko2Yureneva3n = 5Yureneva took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurtenkoYurenevaK − YBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.732.0+1.7per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoYurenevaBasisWin rate · lifetime97 / 186 vs 354 / 58852.2%60.2%97 / 186 vs 354 / 588Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurtenkoKurtenko 1.67/Yureneva 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Kurtenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Yureneva won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 15:10V. Kurtenko3961111113S. Yureneva33117781
WSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko331111113S. Yureneva184770
WAug 20 · 13:10V. Kurtenko341211113S. Yureneva2510960
LAug 11 · 08:35V. Kurtenko227870S. Yureneva331111113
LAug 4 · 08:00V. Kurtenko218760S. Yureneva331111113
LJul 30 · 09:30V. Kurtenko37911981S. Yureneva4211911113
LJul 21 · 07:00V. Kurtenko29731181S. Yureneva4011117113
WJul 16 · 09:30V. Kurtenko4211911113S. Yureneva32811491
WJun 11 · 08:00V. Kurtenko331111113S. Yureneva183690
WJun 9 · 10:05V. Kurtenko47118116113S. Yureneva4681171192
V. Kurtenko10
LSep 13 · 17:10V. Kurtenko1.83811411P. Pashchenko1.8311811103WSep 13 · 15:10S. Yureneva2.00117781V. Kurtenko1.7361111113LSep 13 · 14:10V. Kurtenko3.00119591A. Rzhevska1.3671111103WSep 13 · 13:10U. Dronova1.40119381V. Kurtenko2.7581111113LSep 13 · 11:40V. Kurtenko1.8311811592A. Kurtenko1.83911911113WSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770LSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.301111113Y. Mykhailyk3.405760WSep 1 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.006990
S. Yureneva10
LSep 13 · 16:40S. Yureneva3.00912971U. Dronova1.36111011113LSep 13 · 15:10S. Yureneva2.00117781V. Kurtenko1.7361111113LSep 13 · 13:40S. Yureneva4.338880A. Kurtenko1.201111103WSep 13 · 12:10S. Yureneva1.611111143A. Rzhevska2.2094120LSep 13 · 10:40S. Yureneva1.5312115101P. Pashchenko2.3814411123WSep 1 · 11:30S. Yureneva1.221181111113A. Plashchynska4.0081113452LSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770WSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113LSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva1.44111141042P. Pashchenko2.63641112113WSep 1 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk3.00811651S. Yureneva1.3611711113
Upcoming Matches
V. Kurtenko
S. Yureneva
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.