TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13126710
Played Sep 14Finished
Polina Pashchenko
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
3111157111012––
Yana Mykhailyk
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:39 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeYana Mykhailyk to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPolina Pashchenko above · Yana Mykhailyk below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 70 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Yana Mykhailyk at 55.3%
70 points played in total.
H2H Polina Pashchenko 6–14 Yana Mykhailyk Polina Pashchenko has won 6 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:39What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Mykhailyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-14 in 20
Mykhailyk
Correct
gap of 8 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pashchenko 1587 vs Mykhailyk 1448
Pashchenko
Wrong
both rated, 139 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pashchenko 40% vs Mykhailyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pashchenko 50% vs Mykhailyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pashchenko -3 · Mykhailyk -1
Pashchenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mykhailyk) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mykhailyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPashchenko 1.91 / Mykhailyk 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mykhailyk)+2.5pp
Setka Cup Women · #13126710
Pashchenko1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 19 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back21% 4 of 19
Mykhailyk1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 47 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it85% 34 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePashchenko2wins
AwayMykhailyk8wins
Mykhailyk leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePashchenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMykhailyk88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pashchenko1Mykhailyk9n = 10Mykhailyk took 9 of 10
S2Pashchenko3Mykhailyk7n = 10Mykhailyk took 7 of 10
S3Pashchenko3Mykhailyk7n = 10Mykhailyk took 7 of 10
S4Pashchenko2Mykhailyk3n = 5Mykhailyk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricPashchenkoMykhailykP − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match28.234.0−5.8per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPashchenkoMykhailykBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 140 vs 241 / 50553.6%47.7%75 / 140 vs 241 / 505Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.735.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MykhailykPashchenko 1.91/Mykhailyk 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mykhailyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mykhailyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 11:00P. Pashchenko34811781Y. Mykhailyk3711411113
WAug 21 · 10:14P. Pashchenko4211119113Y. Mykhailyk25461141
LAug 21 · 05:30P. Pashchenko28591131Y. Mykhailyk4111118113
LAug 4 · 08:30P. Pashchenko2376100Y. Mykhailyk341111123
LAug 2 · 10:40P. Pashchenko195680Y. Mykhailyk331111113
LJul 26 · 04:30P. Pashchenko37991181Y. Mykhailyk3911116113
LJul 21 · 06:30P. Pashchenko196670Y. Mykhailyk331111113
LJul 18 · 08:30P. Pashchenko168620Y. Mykhailyk331111113
LJul 12 · 09:05P. Pashchenko2210390Y. Mykhailyk341211113
WJul 7 · 07:35P. Pashchenko4291111113Y. Mykhailyk31116681
P. Pashchenko10
LSep 14 · 07:30P. Pashchenko1.674850U. Dronova2.101111113LSep 14 · 06:00P. Pashchenko2.1051181162S. Yureneva1.67117117113LSep 14 · 04:30P. Pashchenko1.731110531A. Rzhevska2.0081211113WSep 13 · 17:10V. Kurtenko1.83811411P. Pashchenko1.8311811103WSep 13 · 16:10A. Rzhevska1.83713841P. Pashchenko1.83111111113WSep 13 · 14:40U. Dronova1.91513971P. Pashchenko1.80111111113WSep 13 · 12:40A. Kurtenko1.50111051182P. Pashchenko2.50712119113WSep 13 · 10:40S. Yureneva1.5312115101P. Pashchenko2.3814411123LSep 10 · 10:30N. Plokhotniuk1.221111113P. Pashchenko4.007150LSep 10 · 09:30P. Pashchenko6.50117531A. Ovriakh1.1081111113
Y. Mykhailyk10
LSep 14 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk3.0073111192S. Yureneva1.36111189113WSep 14 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.289131161Y. Mykhailyk3.5011155113LSep 14 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk3.2511112111U. Dronova1.3313811133LSep 6 · 16:09Y. Mykhailyk2.201011751A. Rzhevska1.6112211113WSep 6 · 14:40Y. Mykhailyk1.221171111113A. Plashchynska4.0013117842WSep 6 · 13:40A. Rzhevska1.50811481Y. Mykhailyk2.5011211113WSep 6 · 12:40O. Melnik3.00561181Y. Mykhailyk1.3611118113WSep 6 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko1.3685110Y. Mykhailyk3.001111133WSep 1 · 11:00Y. Mykhailyk1.8011411113P. Pashchenko1.91811781LSep 1 · 09:00A. Rzhevska1.50119114113Y. Mykhailyk2.5071141192
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