TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13126702
Played Sep 14Finished
Viktoria Kurtenko
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111315115611––
Yana Mykhailyk
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:42 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeViktoria Kurtenko to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingViktoria Kurtenko above · Yana Mykhailyk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 81 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Viktoria Kurtenko at 76.6%
81 points played in total.
H2H Viktoria Kurtenko 23–6 Yana Mykhailyk Yana Mykhailyk has won 6 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:42What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Kurtenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-6 in 29
Kurtenko
Wrong
gap of 17 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1526 vs Mykhailyk 1457
Kurtenko
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 40% vs Mykhailyk 60%
Mykhailyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 50% vs Mykhailyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko -2 · Mykhailyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Kurtenko) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mykhailyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 1.28 / Mykhailyk 3.50
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Kurtenko)+4.3pp
Setka Cup Women · #13126702
Kurtenko1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 49 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Mykhailyk3.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 48 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurtenko6wins
AwayMykhailyk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKurtenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko100%5 of 5
AwayMykhailyk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko5Mykhailyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Kurtenko5Mykhailyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Kurtenko6Mykhailyk4n = 10Kurtenko took 6 of 10
S4Kurtenko1Mykhailyk4n = 5Mykhailyk took 4 of 5
S5Kurtenko3Mykhailyk0n = 3Kurtenko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurtenkoMykhailykK − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.435.3+3.1per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoMykhailykBasisWin rate · lifetime97 / 188 vs 241 / 50451.6%47.8%97 / 188 vs 241 / 504Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.035.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurtenkoKurtenko 1.28/Mykhailyk 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
77.4%
Kurtenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mykhailyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 07:00V. Kurtenko399131161Y. Mykhailyk4211155113
WSep 1 · 07:00V. Kurtenko331111113Y. Mykhailyk185760
LAug 5 · 05:00V. Kurtenko29111080Y. Mykhailyk361312113
LAug 4 · 05:00V. Kurtenko341011761Y. Mykhailyk3512111113
WJul 26 · 06:00V. Kurtenko331111113Y. Mykhailyk197930
WJul 21 · 09:30V. Kurtenko52811128133Y. Mykhailyk491161011112
LJul 16 · 05:00V. Kurtenko29611120Y. Mykhailyk381113143
WJun 11 · 10:13V. Kurtenko331111113Y. Mykhailyk229490
WJun 11 · 06:00V. Kurtenko5613111110113Y. Mykhailyk52111391272
WJun 9 · 11:05V. Kurtenko46116711113Y. Mykhailyk4281111842
V. Kurtenko10
LSep 14 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.67113951S. Yureneva2.1041111113LSep 13 · 17:10V. Kurtenko1.83811411P. Pashchenko1.8311811103WSep 13 · 15:10S. Yureneva2.00117781V. Kurtenko1.7361111113LSep 13 · 14:10V. Kurtenko3.00119591A. Rzhevska1.3671111103WSep 13 · 13:10U. Dronova1.40119381V. Kurtenko2.7581111113LSep 13 · 11:40V. Kurtenko1.8311811592A. Kurtenko1.83911911113WSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770LSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.301111113Y. Mykhailyk3.405760
Y. Mykhailyk10
LSep 14 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk3.2511112111U. Dronova1.3313811133LSep 6 · 16:09Y. Mykhailyk2.201011751A. Rzhevska1.6112211113WSep 6 · 14:40Y. Mykhailyk1.221171111113A. Plashchynska4.0013117842WSep 6 · 13:40A. Rzhevska1.50811481Y. Mykhailyk2.5011211113WSep 6 · 12:40O. Melnik3.00561181Y. Mykhailyk1.3611118113WSep 6 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko1.3685110Y. Mykhailyk3.001111133WSep 1 · 11:00Y. Mykhailyk1.8011411113P. Pashchenko1.91811781LSep 1 · 09:00A. Rzhevska1.50119114113Y. Mykhailyk2.5071141192WSep 1 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk1.251111113A. Plashchynska3.757870LSep 1 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.301111113Y. Mykhailyk3.405760
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