TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13126701
Played Sep 14Finished
Yana Mykhailyk
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711311118119911
Svitlana Yureneva
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:40 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeSvitlana Yureneva to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYana Mykhailyk above · Svitlana Yureneva below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 91 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Svitlana Yureneva at 70.4%
91 points played in total.
H2H Yana Mykhailyk 42–105 Svitlana Yureneva Yana Mykhailyk has won 42 of their 147 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:40What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Yureneva
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-105 in 147
Yureneva
Correct
gap of 63 in 147, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mykhailyk 1448 vs Yureneva 1518
Yureneva
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhailyk 60% vs Yureneva 40%
Mykhailyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhailyk 70% vs Yureneva 50%
Mykhailyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhailyk +1 · Yureneva +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Yureneva) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yureneva form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhailyk 3.00 / Yureneva 1.36
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Yureneva)+2.4pp
Setka Cup Women · #13126701
Mykhailyk3.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 48 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 48
Yureneva1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite74% won 123 of 167
Up 2–0, closes it93% 68 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it88% 97 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMykhailyk2wins
AwayYureneva8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderYureneva leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMykhailykn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayYureneva100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mykhailyk2Yureneva8n = 10Yureneva took 8 of 10
S2Mykhailyk3Yureneva7n = 10Yureneva took 7 of 10
S3Mykhailyk3Yureneva7n = 10Yureneva took 7 of 10
S4Mykhailyk2Yureneva2n = 4split evenly
S5Mykhailyk1Yureneva2n = 3Yureneva took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricMykhailykYurenevaM − YBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match30.939.2−8.3per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhailykYurenevaBasisWin rate · lifetime241 / 505 vs 357 / 59147.7%60.4%241 / 505 vs 357 / 591Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurenevaMykhailyk 3.00/Yureneva 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.2%
Yureneva · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Yureneva won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk4173111192S. Yureneva50111189113
LSep 1 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk30811651S. Yureneva4011711113
LAug 21 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk26410120S. Yureneva371112143
LAug 5 · 06:00Y. Mykhailyk158520S. Yureneva331111113
LAug 4 · 09:31Y. Mykhailyk501112125102S. Yureneva5613101011123
LAug 4 · 06:30Y. Mykhailyk2787120S. Yureneva361111143
LJul 21 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk155730S. Yureneva331111113
WJul 16 · 11:30Y. Mykhailyk361112133S. Yureneva30910110
LJul 15 · 12:10Y. Mykhailyk214980S. Yureneva331111113
WJul 12 · 10:38Y. Mykhailyk48119611113S. Yureneva4471111782
Y. Mykhailyk10
WSep 14 · 09:00P. Pashchenko1.913117101Y. Mykhailyk1.8011511123WSep 14 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.289131161Y. Mykhailyk3.5011155113LSep 14 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk3.2511112111U. Dronova1.3313811133LSep 6 · 16:09Y. Mykhailyk2.201011751A. Rzhevska1.6112211113WSep 6 · 14:40Y. Mykhailyk1.221171111113A. Plashchynska4.0013117842WSep 6 · 13:40A. Rzhevska1.50811481Y. Mykhailyk2.5011211113WSep 6 · 12:40O. Melnik3.00561181Y. Mykhailyk1.3611118113WSep 6 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko1.3685110Y. Mykhailyk3.001111133WSep 1 · 11:00Y. Mykhailyk1.8011411113P. Pashchenko1.91811781LSep 1 · 09:00A. Rzhevska1.50119114113Y. Mykhailyk2.5071141192
S. Yureneva10
WSep 14 · 06:00P. Pashchenko2.1051181162S. Yureneva1.67117117113WSep 14 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.67113951S. Yureneva2.1041111113LSep 13 · 16:40S. Yureneva3.00912971U. Dronova1.36111011113LSep 13 · 15:10S. Yureneva2.00117781V. Kurtenko1.7361111113LSep 13 · 13:40S. Yureneva4.338880A. Kurtenko1.201111103WSep 13 · 12:10S. Yureneva1.611111143A. Rzhevska2.2094120LSep 13 · 10:40S. Yureneva1.5312115101P. Pashchenko2.3814411123WSep 1 · 11:30S. Yureneva1.221181111113A. Plashchynska4.0081113452LSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770WSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113
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