TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13125685
Played Sep 14Finished
Vaclav Rybar
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012811118116511
Michal Kaspar
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Rybar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVaclav Rybar above · Michal Kaspar below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 93 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Vaclav Rybar at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Rybar 0–1 Michal Kaspar Vaclav Rybar has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:52What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kaspar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rybar 1329 vs Kaspar 1264
Rybar
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rybar 60% vs Kaspar 80%
Kaspar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rybar 60% vs Kaspar 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rybar -1 · Kaspar +3
Kaspar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rybar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaspar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRybar 1.83 / Kaspar 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rybar)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13125685
Rybar1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Kaspar1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRybar0wins
AwayKaspar1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKaspar leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRybarKasparR − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match45.048.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRybarKasparBasisWin rate · lifetime21 / 38 vs 74 / 16655.3%44.6%21 / 38 vs 74 / 166Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RybarRybar 1.83/Kaspar 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rybar · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kaspar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 14 · 07:00V. Rybar45108111152M. Kaspar48121186113
V. Rybar10
LSep 14 · 06:00M. Levicky2.00116118113V. Rybar1.7391161172WAug 20 · 21:30M. Blaha1.90951161V. Rybar1.8011117113WAug 20 · 20:00V. Rybar1.3613811113T. Navrat3.001111661WAug 20 · 19:30M. Blaha1.91111166112V. Rybar1.80891111133LAug 20 · 18:00V. Rybar2.00118761M. Derco1.7381111113LAug 10 · 13:28V. Rybar1.403870P. Banot2.751111113WAug 10 · 12:30V. Rybar1.611111113D. Vavrecka2.206450LAug 10 · 11:00V. Rybar1.801111111142M. Derco1.91131356113WAug 10 · 10:00P. Banot2.258111071V. Rybar1.5711612113WAug 4 · 20:59V. Rybar1.571111113R. Adamczyk2.257740
M. Kaspar10
WSep 14 · 06:30M. Kaspar1.7311129113M. Derco2.005101191WSep 10 · 12:59M. Kaspar1.831111611143M. Levicky1.83813118122WSep 10 · 12:30D. Tyn1.80114111052M. Kaspar1.91311612113LSep 10 · 11:30M. Kaspar2.639690V. Kocian1.441111113WSep 10 · 10:30M. Levicky1.73111212572M. Kaspar2.009141011113LSep 7 · 08:59M. Kaspar1.731211981M. Levicky2.0014211113LSep 7 · 08:30V. Kocian1.531111133M. Kaspar2.3886110LSep 7 · 07:30M. Kaspar1.8311811942D. Tyn1.83811611113WSep 7 · 06:30M. Levicky1.837111081M. Kaspar1.8311712113WAug 30 · 12:59M. Levicky1.5716137992M. Kaspar2.2514111111113
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