TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13125789
Played Sep 14Finished
Matej Levicky
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119611116811117
Vaclav Rybar
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Rybar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMatej Levicky above · Vaclav Rybar below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 91 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Vaclav Rybar at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Matej Levicky 0–1 Vaclav Rybar Matej Levicky has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 17:22What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Rybar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Levicky 1195 vs Rybar 1363
Rybar
Wrong
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levicky 20% vs Rybar 60%
Rybar
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levicky 20% vs Rybar 70%
Rybar
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Levicky -4 · Rybar +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Rybar) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levicky form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevicky 2.00 / Rybar 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Rybar)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13125789
Levicky2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 33 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back22% 14 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Rybar1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 14 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLevicky0wins
AwayRybar1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderRybar leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLevickyRybarL − RBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match49.052.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevickyRybarBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 382 vs 21 / 3651.6%58.3%197 / 382 vs 21 / 36Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RybarLevicky 2.00/Rybar 1.73
Miss
What we said
56.5%
Rybar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Levicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 6 · 18:30M. Levicky49131091162V. Rybar521112117113
M. Levicky10
LSep 10 · 12:59M. Kaspar1.831111611143M. Levicky1.83813118122LSep 10 · 12:00V. Kocian1.7311118113M. Levicky2.00981181LSep 10 · 11:00D. Tyn1.37111127113M. Levicky2.6597111172LSep 10 · 10:30M. Levicky1.73111212572M. Kaspar2.009141011113WSep 7 · 08:59M. Kaspar1.731211981M. Levicky2.0014211113LSep 7 · 08:00D. Tyn1.4051412113M. Levicky2.7511121091WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kocian1.7311491172M. Levicky2.00811119113LSep 7 · 06:30M. Levicky1.837111081M. Kaspar1.8311712113LSep 6 · 09:00A. Schneeberger1.4411111010113M. Levicky2.6346121292LSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890
V. Rybar10
WAug 20 · 21:30M. Blaha1.90951161V. Rybar1.8011117113WAug 20 · 20:00V. Rybar1.3613811113T. Navrat3.001111661WAug 20 · 19:30M. Blaha1.91111166112V. Rybar1.80891111133LAug 20 · 18:00V. Rybar2.00118761M. Derco1.7381111113LAug 10 · 13:28V. Rybar1.403870P. Banot2.751111113WAug 10 · 12:30V. Rybar1.611111113D. Vavrecka2.206450LAug 10 · 11:00V. Rybar1.801111111142M. Derco1.91131356113WAug 10 · 10:00P. Banot2.258111071V. Rybar1.5711612113WAug 4 · 20:59V. Rybar1.571111113R. Adamczyk2.257740WAug 4 · 20:00V. Kocian2.00101111862V. Rybar1.73129411113
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