TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13121115
Played Sep 12Finished
Michal Syroha
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119114711113––
Milan Vrabec
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMichal Syroha above · Milan Vrabec below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 67 set 4, 11-3
67 points played in total.
H2H Michal Syroha 11–3 Milan Vrabec Milan Vrabec has won 3 of their 14 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Syroha beat Vrabec 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Syroha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syroha form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyroha 1.50 / Vrabec 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Syroha)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13121115
Syroha1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 80 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it78% 55 of 71
Vrabec2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 26 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyroha8wins
AwayVrabec2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSyroha leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyroha75%6 of 8
AwayVrabecn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syroha8Vrabec2n = 10Syroha took 8 of 10
S2Syroha5Vrabec5n = 10split evenly
S3Syroha7Vrabec3n = 10Syroha took 7 of 10
S4Syroha3Vrabec4n = 7Vrabec took 4 of 7
S5Syroha4Vrabec1n = 5Syroha took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyrohaVrabecS − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.735.5+6.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyrohaVrabecBasisWin rate · lifetime336 / 673 vs 174 / 34549.9%50.4%336 / 673 vs 174 / 345Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyrohaSyroha 1.50/Vrabec 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66%
Syroha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Syroha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 15:00M. Syroha52811913113M. Vrabec43115111152
WAug 22 · 07:30M. Syroha44117114113M. Vrabec4451191182
WJun 7 · 07:00M. Syroha505111110133M. Vrabec48116812112
WMay 17 · 08:58M. Syroha341112113M. Vrabec2481060
LMay 17 · 07:00M. Syroha48119612102M. Vrabec473111110123
WDec 31 · 21:30M. Syroha331111113M. Vrabec214980
WDec 19 · 12:30M. Syroha47118116113M. Vrabec3581121132
WMay 4 · 24:00M. Syroha331111113M. Vrabec246990
LMay 2 · 12:00M. Syroha32116961M. Vrabec3851111113
WMar 22 · 19:00M. Syroha44111111113M. Vrabec31813731
M. Syroha10
LSep 12 · 16:30M. Syroha1.8391120J. Svec1.831113113WSep 12 · 15:00M. Syroha1.44811913113M. Vrabec2.63115111152LSep 12 · 14:00J. Grohsgott1.73111169113M. Syroha2.0097111172LSep 11 · 17:00M. Syroha2.0013630V. Stach1.701511113LSep 11 · 16:00M. Syroha2.00111262122V. Stach1.733101111143WSep 11 · 15:30M. Regner1.9161111422M. Syroha1.80118911113LSep 11 · 14:00M. Syroha1.679570J. Svec2.101111113LSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101WSep 5 · 15:00M. Regner2.00861151M. Syroha1.7311114113
M. Vrabec10
LSep 12 · 16:00J. Grohsgott1.671111113M. Vrabec2.105780LSep 12 · 15:00M. Syroha1.44811913113M. Vrabec2.63115111152LSep 12 · 14:30M. Vrabec3.507380J. Svec1.281111113WSep 7 · 09:30M. Vrabec1.5811114113D. Mutl2.25971151WSep 7 · 08:30M. Vrabec1.61111111113A. Hejduk2.20841371LSep 7 · 07:00M. Vrabec3.75951141J. Srba1.2511117113WSep 7 · 06:00D. Mutl2.200460M. Vrabec1.611111113WSep 6 · 09:30M. Vrabec1.2811312113J. Martinek3.257111051WSep 6 · 08:30M. Smesny2.751041181M. Vrabec1.4012117113LSep 6 · 07:30M. Vrabec2.2015490L. Novotny1.611711113
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