TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13113833
Played Sep 11Finished
Michal Lysakowski
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8117111513911––
Dawid Stapor
Away
1.98
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
8117111513911––
H2H Michal Lysakowski 92–116 Dawid Stapor Michal Lysakowski has won 92 of their 208 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Lysakowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (20%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysakowski 1.73 / Stapor 1.98
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Lysakowski)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13113833
Lysakowski1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 192 of 346
Up 2–0, closes it91% 123 of 135
Up 1–0, closes it75% 163 of 217
Stapor1.98
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 42 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back25% 12 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLysakowski5wins
AwayStapor5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysakowski71.4%5 of 7
AwayStapor100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysakowski7Stapor3n = 10Lysakowski took 7 of 10
S2Lysakowski5Stapor5n = 10split evenly
S3Lysakowski1Stapor9n = 10Stapor took 9 of 10
S4Lysakowski6Stapor2n = 8Lysakowski took 6 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLysakowskiStaporL − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.437.5+0.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysakowskiStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime638 / 1309 vs 482 / 91348.7%52.8%638 / 1309 vs 482 / 913Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysakowskiLysakowski 1.73/Stapor 1.98
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Lysakowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 13:10M. Lysakowski—13116133D. Stapor—11611111
WSep 9 · 10:00M. Lysakowski—111111113D. Stapor—981361
WSep 1 · 06:00M. Lysakowski—11811113D. Stapor—711451
LAug 28 · 11:30M. Lysakowski—119771D. Stapor—81111113
LAug 19 · 05:30M. Lysakowski—12971192D. Stapor—1011118113
WAug 18 · 08:00M. Lysakowski—11139113D. Stapor—8111181
LJul 31 · 13:20M. Lysakowski—98120D. Stapor—1111143
LJul 31 · 08:30M. Lysakowski—811881D. Stapor—11411113
LJul 28 · 06:30M. Lysakowski—9970D. Stapor—1111113
WJul 26 · 08:35M. Lysakowski—11118113D. Stapor—891191
M. Lysakowski10
WSep 11 · 06:30M. Lysakowski1.781111163P. Gola1.9179140LSep 11 · 05:00M. Lysakowski1.668590M. Galus2.021111113WSep 9 · 13:10M. Lysakowski1.5813116133D. Stapor2.1411611111LSep 9 · 11:00P. Gola1.8311913123M. Lysakowski1.8781111101WSep 9 · 10:00M. Lysakowski1.58111111113D. Stapor2.20981361WSep 9 · 09:00M. Lysakowski1.41911115113S. Wloszek2.6011591182LSep 9 · 07:30M. Lysakowski1.39812100M. Burkacki2.801114123WSep 9 · 05:30M. Lysakowski1.761411113D. Skvarskyi1.9012460LSep 7 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi1.8711111410113M. Lysakowski1.83613121232WSep 7 · 11:30M. Lysakowski1.361111411123M. Burkacki2.75851113102
D. Stapor10
LSep 11 · 07:00D. Stapor1.95114141142M. Galus1.74911169113WSep 11 · 06:00M. Ovcharenko1.36111270D. Stapor2.751314113LSep 9 · 13:10M. Lysakowski1.5813116133D. Stapor2.1411611111LSep 9 · 12:00D. Stapor2.1811781292D. Skvarskyi1.568111110113LSep 9 · 10:00M. Lysakowski1.58111111113D. Stapor2.20981361WSep 9 · 08:00P. Gola2.001161181D. Stapor1.7291113113WSep 9 · 07:00D. Stapor1.7211811113S. Wloszek2.00611951LSep 9 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.1811118113D. Stapor1.56961191WSep 8 · 13:10D. Stapor1.60111157113M. Burkacki2.2066111182LSep 8 · 11:00D. Stapor2.75116891M. Ovcharenko1.4191111113
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