TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13109768
Played Sep 10Finished
Szymon Radlo
Home
2.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611411––––
Marcin Stepien
Away
1.55
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
811611411––––
H2H Szymon Radlo 36–42 Marcin Stepien Szymon Radlo has won 36 of their 78 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Radlo beat Stepien 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Stepien)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stepien form (0%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRadlo 2.30 / Stepien 1.55
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Stepien)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #13109768
Radlo2.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog51% won 182 of 358
Down 0–1, comes back24% 39 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 101
Stepien1.55
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 198 of 340
Up 2–0, closes it94% 137 of 146
Up 1–0, closes it80% 160 of 199
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRadlo6wins
AwayStepien4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRadlo leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRadlo85.7%6 of 7
AwayStepien100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Radlo7Stepien3n = 10Radlo took 7 of 10
S2Radlo4Stepien6n = 10Stepien took 6 of 10
S3Radlo4Stepien6n = 10Stepien took 6 of 10
S4Radlo3Stepien5n = 8Stepien took 5 of 8
S5Radlo3Stepien0n = 3Radlo took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRadloStepienR − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.442.0−1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRadloStepienBasisWin rate · lifetime367 / 727 vs 644 / 117050.5%55%367 / 727 vs 644 / 1170Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StepienRadlo 2.30/Stepien 1.55
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Stepien · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stepien won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 10:30S. Radlo—1311113M. Stepien—11890
LSep 7 · 08:00S. Radlo—9570M. Stepien—1111113
WSep 4 · 05:00S. Radlo—11911123M. Stepien—9116101
WAug 31 · 13:00S. Radlo—1111129133M. Stepien—781411112
WAug 31 · 07:30S. Radlo—11148113M. Stepien—8121141
WAug 30 · 23:15S. Radlo—1110119113M. Stepien—91281192
LAug 30 · 18:05S. Radlo—144771M. Stepien—121111113
WAug 27 · 13:40S. Radlo—1113215153M. Stepien—8151113132
LAug 27 · 05:00S. Radlo—911581M. Stepien—11911113
LAug 25 · 13:40S. Radlo—951171M. Stepien—11118113
S. Radlo10
LSep 10 · 12:00D. Skvarskyi1.5051114113S. Radlo2.401171231WSep 10 · 10:30S. Radlo2.291311113M. Stepien1.5111890LSep 10 · 08:30M. Galus1.7414912113S. Radlo1.9512111041LSep 10 · 06:30M. Ovcharenko1.441111113S. Radlo2.506760LSep 10 · 05:50S. Wloszek2.101311113S. Radlo1.6011290LSep 8 · 13:40S. Radlo1.81118231M. Ovcharenko1.9091111113WSep 8 · 12:00B. Molka1.75137121082S. Radlo1.9511111012113WSep 8 · 10:30S. Radlo1.53141011133S. Wloszek2.2312129111WSep 8 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.2597120S. Radlo1.541111143LSep 8 · 06:30D. Stapor1.8512111113113S. Radlo1.8514651552
M. Stepien10
WSep 10 · 11:30M. Galus1.66811471M. Stepien2.0511911113LSep 10 · 10:30S. Radlo2.291311113M. Stepien1.5111890LSep 10 · 09:00S. Wloszek2.551381112123M. Stepien1.411111814102LSep 10 · 06:10D. Skvarskyi1.471111113M. Stepien2.509480LSep 10 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.461091311113M. Stepien2.42121111632LSep 7 · 13:10M. Stepien1.48811711102B. Molka2.35115115123LSep 7 · 12:00M. Stepien2.4111511142D. Skvarskyi1.46811911113WSep 7 · 10:00B. Molka2.2511891192M. Stepien1.57511115113WSep 7 · 08:00S. Radlo2.419570M. Stepien1.461111113WSep 7 · 07:00M. Stepien1.361113113M. Burkacki2.8071160
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