TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13105497
Played Sep 9Finished
Michal Szostak
Home
2.05
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101191311––––
Kiejda Patryk
Away
1.68
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKiejda Patryk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
12101191311––––
H2H Michal Szostak 3–4 Kiejda Patryk Michal Szostak has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:43What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (55%)
Patryk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szostak 1403 vs Patryk 1454
Patryk
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szostak 60% vs Patryk 40%
Szostak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szostak 60% vs Patryk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szostak +1 · Patryk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Patryk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Patryk form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzostak 2.05 / Patryk 1.68
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Patryk)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13105497
Szostak2.05
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 29 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back35% 13 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Patryk1.68
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 102 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it94% 58 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it79% 79 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSzostak3wins
AwayPatryk4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderPatryk leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzostak66.7%2 of 3
AwayPatryk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szostak3Patryk4n = 7Patryk took 4 of 7
S2Szostak3Patryk4n = 7Patryk took 4 of 7
S3Szostak3Patryk4n = 7Patryk took 4 of 7
S4Szostak2Patryk3n = 5Patryk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricSzostakPatrykS − PBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match35.938.7−2.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzostakPatrykBasisWin rate · lifetime125 / 253 vs 182 / 32249.4%56.5%125 / 253 vs 182 / 322Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykSzostak 2.05/Patryk 1.68
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.4%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Szostak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 30 · 12:05M. Szostak—1211119113K. Patryk—14781192
LAug 25 · 16:30M. Szostak—9690K. Patryk—1111113
LAug 22 · 12:05M. Szostak—931141K. Patryk—11118113
LAug 18 · 18:30M. Szostak—11116672K. Patryk—681111113
WJun 23 · 16:30M. Szostak—11711113K. Patryk—811951
WJun 15 · 16:30M. Szostak—11118123K. Patryk—7711101
LJun 9 · 17:30M. Szostak—9860K. Patryk—1111113
M. Szostak10
WSep 9 · 18:00J. Komorowicz1.74811111382M. Szostak1.951191311113LSep 9 · 16:30K. Kos1.6516611113M. Szostak2.101411851WSep 9 · 16:00M. Szostak1.49111679113P. Kedzierski2.34614111142LAug 30 · 14:05W. Arkadiusz1.661110138113M. Szostak2.10712111192WAug 30 · 12:05K. Patryk1.6014781192M. Szostak2.201211119113LAug 30 · 11:05M. Szostak1.9598130W. Arkadiusz1.751111153LAug 30 · 10:05M. Szostak2.10115691L. Buklat1.6031111113WAug 30 · 08:35M. Szostak2.0011121111113P. Kamil1.7213146982WAug 30 · 06:35M. Szostak2.1081112113K. Kos1.651171061WAug 25 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.75111081192M. Szostak1.95912116113
K. Patryk10
WSep 9 · 20:00J. Komorowicz—58110K. Patryk—1111133LSep 9 · 17:30K. Kos1.871112123K. Patryk1.83710100WSep 9 · 15:30P. Kedzierski2.755420K. Patryk1.361111113LSep 9 · 14:00J. Komorowicz2.90111111133K. Patryk1.328713111LSep 8 · 22:30K. Patryk1.635760W. Arkadiusz2.151111113WSep 8 · 21:00J. Caban1.957370K. Patryk1.701111113LSep 8 · 19:30K. Patryk1.301211991J. Komorowicz3.1014611113WSep 8 · 17:30W. Arkadiusz1.951171381K. Patryk1.7691115113WSep 8 · 15:00K. Kos1.9861111472K. Patryk1.73116911113LAug 30 · 12:05K. Patryk1.6014781192M. Szostak2.201211119113
Upcoming Matches
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