TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13101479
Played Sep 9Finished
Jakub Komorowicz
Home
2.90
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11811711131311––
Kiejda Patryk
Away
1.32
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:38 and never touched — 63.5% is still 63.5%
Graded at full timeKiejda Patryk to win
63.5%
63.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
11811711131311––
H2H Jakub Komorowicz 17–29 Kiejda Patryk Jakub Komorowicz has won 17 of their 46 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:38What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.32 (69%)
Patryk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-29 in 46
Patryk
Wrong
gap of 12 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Komorowicz 1331 vs Patryk 1479
Patryk
Wrong
both rated, 148 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Komorowicz 20% vs Patryk 60%
Patryk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Komorowicz 30% vs Patryk 60%
Patryk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Komorowicz -2 · Patryk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Patryk) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Patryk form (60%) is below what odds imply (76%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKomorowicz 2.90 / Patryk 1.32
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Patryk)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13101479
Komorowicz2.90
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 87 of 210
Down 0–1, comes back22% 26 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 59
Patryk1.32
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 102 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it94% 58 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it79% 79 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKomorowicz5wins
AwayPatryk5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKomorowicz50%3 of 6
AwayPatryk50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Komorowicz6Patryk4n = 10Komorowicz took 6 of 10
S2Komorowicz6Patryk4n = 10Komorowicz took 6 of 10
S3Komorowicz4Patryk6n = 10Patryk took 6 of 10
S4Komorowicz2Patryk7n = 9Patryk took 7 of 9
S5Komorowicz3Patryk1n = 4Komorowicz took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKomorowiczPatrykK − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.744.8−4.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKomorowiczPatrykBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 490 vs 181 / 31845.3%56.9%222 / 490 vs 181 / 318Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykKomorowicz 2.90/Patryk 1.32
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.9%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Komorowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 19:30J. Komorowicz—14611113K. Patryk—1211991
LSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz—12116542K. Patryk—1091111113
WSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz—811126133K. Patryk—1191011112
WSep 1 · 21:00J. Komorowicz—1111133K. Patryk—99110
LAug 31 · 15:30J. Komorowicz—811941K. Patryk—11711113
WAug 26 · 14:00J. Komorowicz—9101111113K. Patryk—11127992
LAug 25 · 14:30J. Komorowicz—511391K. Patryk—11711113
LAug 24 · 19:30J. Komorowicz—1161061K. Patryk—71112113
WAug 22 · 14:45J. Komorowicz—1117712173K. Patryk—7151114152
LAug 22 · 06:05J. Komorowicz—1156111K. Patryk—81111133
J. Komorowicz10
LSep 8 · 21:30J. Komorowicz—65130K. Kos—1111153LSep 8 · 20:30W. Arkadiusz1.4011911113J. Komorowicz2.60811751WSep 8 · 19:30K. Patryk1.301211991J. Komorowicz3.1014611113LSep 8 · 18:00P. Kedzierski2.32111110113J. Komorowicz1.49991271LSep 8 · 15:30J. Caban1.49711411113J. Komorowicz2.3211011572WSep 8 · 14:00K. Kos1.60611681J. Komorowicz2.1011711113WSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113LSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113LSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113
K. Patryk10
WSep 9 · 15:30P. Kedzierski2.755420K. Patryk1.361111113LSep 8 · 22:30K. Patryk1.635760W. Arkadiusz2.151111113WSep 8 · 21:00J. Caban1.957370K. Patryk1.701111113LSep 8 · 19:30K. Patryk1.301211991J. Komorowicz3.1014611113WSep 8 · 17:30W. Arkadiusz1.951171381K. Patryk1.7691115113WSep 8 · 15:00K. Kos1.9861111472K. Patryk1.73116911113WSep 8 · 14:30P. Kedzierski2.953490K. Patryk1.311111113WSep 7 · 22:00K. Kos2.009960K. Patryk1.711111113LSep 7 · 20:00K. Patryk—1175131W. Dariusz—61111153LSep 7 · 18:30K. Patryk1.82411561P. Odelski1.8811611113
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