TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077175
Played Sep 5Finished
Szymon Kolasa
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1214611911––––
Grzegorz Adamiak
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:49 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeSzymon Kolasa to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSzymon Kolasa above · Grzegorz Adamiak below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-7
Point 59 set 3, 9-7 — our read held Szymon Kolasa at 63.3%
59 points drawn · the score is 4 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Szymon Kolasa 16–5 Grzegorz Adamiak Grzegorz Adamiak has won 5 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:49What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kolasa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-5 in 21
Kolasa
Wrong
gap of 11 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolasa 1882 vs Adamiak 1747
Kolasa
Wrong
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolasa 60% vs Adamiak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolasa 50% vs Adamiak 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolasa -1 · Adamiak +3
Adamiak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kolasa) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamiak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolasa 1.44 / Adamiak 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Kolasa)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13077175
Kolasa1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite78% won 59 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it94% 44 of 47
Adamiak2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 64 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back14% 20 of 144
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolasa7wins
AwayAdamiak3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKolasa leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolasa75%3 of 4
AwayAdamiak33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolasa4Adamiak6n = 10Adamiak took 6 of 10
S2Kolasa5Adamiak5n = 10split evenly
S3Kolasa7Adamiak3n = 10Kolasa took 7 of 10
S4Kolasa8Adamiak0n = 8Kolasa took 8 of 8
S5Kolasa1Adamiak2n = 3Adamiak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolasaAdamiakK − ABasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.035.3+4.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolasaAdamiakBasisWin rate · lifetime280 / 511 vs 331 / 76254.8%43.4%280 / 511 vs 331 / 762Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.235.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolasaKolasa 1.44/Adamiak 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Kolasa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Adamiak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 3 · 09:45S. Kolasa—11040G. Adamiak—1112113
WJul 3 · 03:00S. Kolasa—71111113G. Adamiak—113971
WMar 29 · 06:15S. Kolasa—91111113G. Adamiak—117761
WJan 25 · 15:50S. Kolasa—5101111113G. Adamiak—11126962
WJan 25 · 10:35S. Kolasa—111011113G. Adamiak—812751
WJan 24 · 11:00S. Kolasa—1111113G. Adamiak—9870
WJan 24 · 10:10S. Kolasa—111111113G. Adamiak—134841
WJan 18 · 13:25S. Kolasa—111113113G. Adamiak—991541
LJan 18 · 05:00S. Kolasa—412111162G. Adamiak—111462113
LJan 17 · 11:25S. Kolasa—12961172G. Adamiak—1011115113
S. Kolasa10
LSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113LSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113WSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kolasa1.6111811113M. Nowalinski2.20811761LSep 6 · 11:40S. Kolasa1.40121211592S. Sporek2.751014611113WSep 6 · 10:00S. Kolasa1.4461111113G. Adamiak2.63117621WSep 6 · 09:00S. Kolasa1.44121169113M. Domin2.63106111162WSep 6 · 07:45M. Domin2.63710100S. Kolasa1.441112123WSep 6 · 06:55S. Sporek2.7591190S. Kolasa1.401113113LSep 6 · 06:05S. Kolasa1.73101151182M. Nowalinski2.00126118113
G. Adamiak10
WSep 6 · 13:45G. Adamiak1.83113611113M. Nowalinski1.8361111662WSep 6 · 12:30G. Adamiak1.831111715113S. Sporek1.8387111752LSep 6 · 11:15G. Adamiak1.80971191M. Domin1.9111113113LSep 6 · 10:00S. Kolasa1.4461111113G. Adamiak2.63117621LSep 6 · 09:20G. Adamiak2.75911961J. Braun1.4011911113WSep 6 · 08:05D. Wasilewski4.25117110G. Adamiak1.181311133WSep 6 · 07:15M. Zagajewski5.80691131G. Adamiak1.0911115113WSep 6 · 05:15P. Staniszewski5.405970G. Adamiak1.111111113WSep 6 · 04:25T. Pisarczyk6.906450G. Adamiak1.061111113WSep 6 · 03:00I. Dabrowski—8111451G. Adamiak—11616113
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