Petr Vodal vs Simon Holik 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13042328

Played Aug 29Finished

Petr Vodal

Home

1.73

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

411171510121012––

Simon Holik

Away

2.00

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingPetr Vodal above · Simon Holik below

Set 1 · 4-11

Set 2 · 17-15

Set 3 · 10-12

Set 4 · 10-10

Point 89 set 4, 10-10

89 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.

H2H Petr Vodal 10–7 Simon Holik Simon Holik has won 7 of their 17 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vodal)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Vodal form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVodal 1.73 / Holik 2.00

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Vodal)+0.4pp

TT Cup · #13042328

Vodal1.73

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

10%takes the first set · 1 of 10

As favourite51% won 49 of 96

Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21

Up 1–0, closes it76% 34 of 45

Holik2.00

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog41% won 12 of 29

Down 0–1, comes back29% 6 of 21

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeVodal6wins

AwayHolik4wins

4 of 10 to a deciderVodal leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeVodal57.1%4 of 7

AwayHolik33.3%1 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Vodal7Holik3n = 10Vodal took 7 of 10

S2Vodal6Holik4n = 10Vodal took 6 of 10

S3Vodal8Holik2n = 10Vodal took 8 of 10

S4Vodal3Holik4n = 7Holik took 4 of 7

S5Vodal1Holik3n = 4Holik took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricVodalHolikV − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.638.7+1.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricVodalHolikBasisWin rate · lifetime247 / 483 vs 101 / 19751.1%51.3%247 / 483 vs 101 / 197Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Vodal

Vodal 1.73/Holik 2.00

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Vodal · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Holik won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WJul 26 · 09:29P. Vodal—1212113S. Holik—101060

WJul 26 · 06:50P. Vodal—1111113S. Holik—8770

WOct 12 · 12:50P. Vodal—91111133S. Holik—1199111

WSep 7 · 13:40P. Vodal—121012113S. Holik—10121081

WSep 7 · 11:10P. Vodal—1112113S. Holik—61080

LJun 15 · 11:10P. Vodal—119119102S. Holik—811811123

LJun 15 · 06:50P. Vodal—8101171S. Holik—11125113

LJun 6 · 14:40P. Vodal—11113832S. Holik—581111113

LMay 11 · 14:50P. Vodal—116111262S. Holik—911914113

WApr 12 · 12:20P. Vodal—611811113S. Holik—11811792

P. Vodal10

LSep 6 · 10:04J. Dohnal1.83111135113P. Vodal1.8364111192 WSep 6 · 08:50B. Budik1.5361181192P. Vodal2.38117119113 WSep 6 · 07:50P. Vodal3.75116118113T. Hnizdil1.2581171192 LSep 6 · 06:20J. Dohnal1.801181011113P. Vodal1.9171112962 LSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972 LSep 5 · 08:55T. Rein1.80141114163P. Vodal1.91121312141 LSep 5 · 08:25B. Budik1.671111113P. Vodal2.105690 LSep 5 · 07:25P. Vodal3.4011680T. Hnizdil1.301311113 LAug 30 · 13:30P. Vodal1.73107111172J. Dohnal2.00121197113 WAug 30 · 12:50P. Vodal2.001011116123J. Dohnal1.73126311102

S. Holik10

WSep 2 · 10:09S. Holik1.571011111113T. Rein2.2512115572 LSep 2 · 09:25S. Holik1.95511116102B. Budik1.77115811123 WSep 2 · 07:55T. Rein2.2561111772S. Holik1.57118811113 LSep 2 · 07:25J. Srnka1.6711118113S. Holik2.10951161 WAug 30 · 14:02T. Rein2.509111131S. Holik1.5011413113 LAug 30 · 12:20T. Rein2.2011911113S. Holik1.61211791 WAug 30 · 11:50J. Dohnal1.6711119562S. Holik2.10881111113 WAug 30 · 10:50S. Holik1.91111011113P. Vodal1.80812771 WAug 29 · 13:25S. Holik2.5012711113J. Dohnal1.501011851 LAug 29 · 11:55P. Vodal1.61121476113S. Holik2.201012111192

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