TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13041742
Played Aug 29Finished
Michal Prochazka
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121171012511––
David Bochnak
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:02 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeDavid Bochnak to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Prochazka above · David Bochnak below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 78 set 4, 5-11 — our read held David Bochnak at 54.4%
78 points played in total.
H2H Michal Prochazka 2–5 David Bochnak Michal Prochazka has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:02What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Bochnak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Bochnak
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prochazka 1718 vs Bochnak 1934
Bochnak
Correct
both rated, 216 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prochazka 40% vs Bochnak 100%
Bochnak
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prochazka 40% vs Bochnak 90%
Bochnak
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prochazka -1 · Bochnak +5
Bochnak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Bochnak) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bochnak form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProchazka 2.00 / Bochnak 1.73
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Bochnak)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13041742
Prochazka2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog53% won 24 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back35% 8 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back20% 3 of 15
Bochnak1.73
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite61% won 120 of 196
Up 2–0, closes it93% 62 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it78% 91 of 116
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeProchazka2wins
AwayBochnak5wins
2 of 7 to a deciderBochnak leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProchazka66.7%2 of 3
AwayBochnak100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prochazka3Bochnak4n = 7Bochnak took 4 of 7
S2Prochazka1Bochnak6n = 7Bochnak took 6 of 7
S3Prochazka5Bochnak2n = 7Prochazka took 5 of 7
S4Prochazka3Bochnak3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricProchazkaBochnakP − BBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match37.338.7−1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProchazkaBochnakBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 132 vs 367 / 59358.3%61.9%77 / 132 vs 367 / 593Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match40.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BochnakProchazka 2.00/Bochnak 1.73
Miss
What we said
58.1%
Bochnak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bochnak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 10 · 18:40M. Prochazka4111811113D. Bochnak32711771
WAug 10 · 15:25M. Prochazka3911611113D. Bochnak27611551
LAug 3 · 22:25M. Prochazka5069111592D. Bochnak511111513113
LAug 3 · 18:55M. Prochazka4211711492D. Bochnak48911611113
LAug 2 · 21:25M. Prochazka355101191D. Bochnak3911125113
LJul 30 · 16:55M. Prochazka229940D. Bochnak331111113
LJul 23 · 15:55M. Prochazka32511881D. Bochnak4111811113
M. Prochazka10
LAug 29 · 21:55M. Brozek2.381111113M. Prochazka1.539880LAug 29 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.7512811113M. Prochazka1.401011441LAug 29 · 18:55M. Brozek2.5011115113M. Prochazka1.50871171WAug 29 · 18:00M. Prochazka1.53141111113M. Kulisek2.38167791WAug 29 · 17:25M. Prochazka1.44101111173M. Kulisek2.631258151LAug 29 · 15:55D. Vesecky1.83781211113M. Prochazka1.83111110542LAug 29 · 15:25O. Fiklik2.2011185123M. Prochazka1.6181611101LAug 12 · 09:59M. Prochazka1.50811991M. Cerny2.5011911113WAug 12 · 08:55M. Cerny2.005680M. Prochazka1.731111113LAug 12 · 08:25D. Vesecky1.805121111113M. Prochazka1.91111013992
D. Bochnak10
LSep 13 · 19:25D. Bochnak1.735122131M. Cerny2.00111011153WSep 13 · 10:00M. Cerny2.10111130112D. Bochnak1.67341111133LSep 13 · 08:50M. Cerny2.25114811113D. Bochnak1.5761111672WSep 13 · 07:50D. Bochnak1.5011411113D. Hyza2.50311541WSep 13 · 06:20J. Kocab3.403101171D. Bochnak1.3011126113WSep 7 · 22:45D. Bochnak1.3311511123P. Benes2.858113101WSep 7 · 21:25P. Benes3.00101171772D. Bochnak1.361281115113WSep 7 · 20:25D. Bochnak1.171171113113M. Kulisek4.5071161532LSep 7 · 18:55M. Brozek2.751111123D. Bochnak1.4096100WSep 6 · 09:54D. Vesecky2.508990D. Bochnak1.501111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Prochazka
Nothing scheduled
D. Bochnak
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