TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12410584
Played Aug 12Finished
Michal Prochazka
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811119911911––
Martin Cerny
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMichal Prochazka above · Martin Cerny below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 79 set 4, 9-11
79 points played in total.
H2H Michal Prochazka 4–1 Martin Cerny Martin Cerny has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Prochazka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cerny form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProchazka 1.50 / Cerny 2.50
Signal prob.68% / 33%
Edge (Prochazka)+5.0pp
TT Cup · #12410584
Prochazka1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 50 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it82% 32 of 39
Cerny2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 40 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back15% 9 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeProchazka4wins
AwayCerny1wins
3 of 5 to a deciderProchazka leads 4–1, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProchazka100%3 of 3
AwayCernyn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prochazka3Cerny2n = 5Prochazka took 3 of 5
S2Prochazka2Cerny3n = 5Cerny took 3 of 5
S3Prochazka3Cerny2n = 5Prochazka took 3 of 5
S4Prochazka1Cerny2n = 3Cerny took 2 of 3
S5Prochazka3Cerny0n = 3Prochazka took 3 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home360%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricProchazkaCernyP − CBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match39.638.4+1.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProchazkaCernyBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 126 vs 480 / 82859.5%58%75 / 126 vs 480 / 828Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProchazkaProchazka 1.50/Cerny 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.5%
Prochazka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cerny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 12 · 08:55M. Prochazka331111113M. Cerny195680
WAug 10 · 17:25M. Prochazka531113117113M. Cerny50131171182
WAug 10 · 13:25M. Prochazka44116132123M. Cerny485111111102
LAug 6 · 14:38M. Prochazka208840M. Cerny331111113
WAug 6 · 12:25M. Prochazka48114814113M. Cerny42711111212
M. Prochazka10
LAug 29 · 21:55M. Brozek2.381111113M. Prochazka1.539880LAug 29 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.7512811113M. Prochazka1.401011441LAug 29 · 20:25M. Prochazka2.0010111051D. Bochnak1.7312712113LAug 29 · 18:55M. Brozek2.5011115113M. Prochazka1.50871171WAug 29 · 18:00M. Prochazka1.53141111113M. Kulisek2.38167791WAug 29 · 17:25M. Prochazka1.44101111173M. Kulisek2.631258151LAug 29 · 15:55D. Vesecky1.83781211113M. Prochazka1.83111110542LAug 29 · 15:25O. Fiklik2.2011185123M. Prochazka1.6181611101WAug 12 · 08:55M. Cerny2.005680M. Prochazka1.731111113LAug 12 · 08:25D. Vesecky1.805121111113M. Prochazka1.91111013992
M. Cerny10
LSep 13 · 19:55M. Kulisek2.00411811113M. Cerny1.7311911542WSep 13 · 19:25D. Bochnak1.735122131M. Cerny2.00111011153LSep 13 · 10:00M. Cerny2.10111130112D. Bochnak1.67341111133WSep 13 · 08:50M. Cerny2.25114811113D. Bochnak1.5761111672WSep 13 · 07:20J. Kocab3.508790M. Cerny1.281111113WSep 13 · 06:50D. Hyza2.75511841M. Cerny1.4011911113WSep 11 · 13:30M. Cerny1.331111143J. Zacharda3.2563120WSep 11 · 12:50O. Kadavy1.2568111142M. Cerny3.75111189113LSep 11 · 11:50M. Cerny1.281169131J. Kocab3.5091111153LAug 12 · 08:55M. Cerny2.005680M. Prochazka1.731111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Prochazka
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M. Cerny
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