TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13041138
Played Aug 29Finished
Ondrej Fiklik
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11818165111210––
Michal Prochazka
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:09 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeMichal Prochazka to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Fiklik above · Michal Prochazka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 18-16
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-9
Point 87 set 4, 9-9 — our read held Michal Prochazka at 56.4%
87 points drawn · the score is 4 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Ondrej Fiklik 7–6 Michal Prochazka Michal Prochazka has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:09What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Prochazka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fiklik 1453 vs Prochazka 1754
Prochazka
Wrong
both rated, 300 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fiklik 20% vs Prochazka 40%
Prochazka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fiklik 10% vs Prochazka 70%
Prochazka
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fiklik -1 · Prochazka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Prochazka) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prochazka form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFiklik 2.20 / Prochazka 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Prochazka)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13041138
Fiklik2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 133 of 330
Down 0–1, comes back22% 39 of 177
Down 0–2, comes back12% 13 of 108
Prochazka1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 51 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it100% 19 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it83% 33 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFiklik6wins
AwayProchazka4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFiklik leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFiklik100%5 of 5
AwayProchazka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fiklik5Prochazka5n = 10split evenly
S2Fiklik7Prochazka3n = 10Fiklik took 7 of 10
S3Fiklik7Prochazka3n = 10Fiklik took 7 of 10
S4Fiklik5Prochazka2n = 7Fiklik took 5 of 7
S5Fiklik1Prochazka3n = 4Prochazka took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFiklikProchazkaF − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.035.3+5.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiklikProchazkaBasisWin rate · lifetime551 / 1212 vs 75 / 12745.5%59.1%551 / 1212 vs 75 / 127Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.040.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProchazkaFiklik 2.20/Prochazka 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Prochazka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Fiklik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 31 · 13:25O. Fiklik331111113M. Prochazka198650
LJul 22 · 11:50O. Fiklik47811511122M. Prochazka47115116143
WJul 19 · 18:35O. Fiklik4211911113M. Prochazka34811961
LJul 19 · 14:55O. Fiklik43101111652M. Prochazka45122911113
WJul 17 · 14:30O. Fiklik331111113M. Prochazka229850
WJul 17 · 11:55O. Fiklik47611811113M. Prochazka4311911752
LJul 16 · 11:25O. Fiklik56917111182M. Prochazka51111955113
WJun 16 · 15:55O. Fiklik331111113M. Prochazka204790
WJun 6 · 07:55O. Fiklik43111110113M. Prochazka30761251
LMay 30 · 08:25O. Fiklik33971161M. Prochazka4211119113
O. Fiklik10
WSep 13 · 19:50O. Fiklik2.00611211113V. Skokan1.7311711982WSep 13 · 18:20D. Sykora2.506380O. Fiklik1.501111113LSep 11 · 14:25A. Rek1.521112118113O. Fiklik2.35131071182WSep 11 · 12:55V. Jr2.2571131132O. Fiklik1.57118119113LSep 11 · 12:25A. Rek1.571111123O. Fiklik2.2565100WSep 11 · 11:25O. Fiklik2.25811128143D. Hyza1.571161011122LSep 10 · 14:25V. Nadvornik1.28116612113O. Fiklik3.15911111072LSep 10 · 13:25O. Fiklik2.505790V. Nadvornik1.501111113WSep 10 · 11:55J. Vonasek1.915141591O. Fiklik1.80111613113WSep 10 · 11:25A. Rek1.5711881162O. Fiklik2.25511115113
M. Prochazka10
LAug 29 · 21:55M. Brozek2.381111113M. Prochazka1.539880LAug 29 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.7512811113M. Prochazka1.401011441LAug 29 · 20:25M. Prochazka2.0010111051D. Bochnak1.7312712113LAug 29 · 18:55M. Brozek2.5011115113M. Prochazka1.50871171WAug 29 · 18:00M. Prochazka1.53141111113M. Kulisek2.38167791WAug 29 · 17:25M. Prochazka1.44101111173M. Kulisek2.631258151LAug 29 · 15:55D. Vesecky1.83781211113M. Prochazka1.83111110542LAug 12 · 09:59M. Prochazka1.50811991M. Cerny2.5011911113WAug 12 · 08:55M. Cerny2.005680M. Prochazka1.731111113LAug 12 · 08:25D. Vesecky1.805121111113M. Prochazka1.91111013992
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