TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12408273
Played Aug 12Finished
David Vesecky
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
51112101113119119
Michal Prochazka
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Vesecky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Vesecky above · Michal Prochazka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 102 set 5, 11-9 — our read held David Vesecky at 54.0%
102 points played in total.
H2H David Vesecky 3–2 Michal Prochazka Michal Prochazka has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:12What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vesecky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vesecky 1826 vs Prochazka 1768
Vesecky
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vesecky 20% vs Prochazka 80%
Prochazka
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vesecky 60% vs Prochazka 80%
Prochazka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vesecky +1 · Prochazka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vesecky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prochazka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVesecky 1.80 / Prochazka 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vesecky)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #12408273
Vesecky1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 113 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it96% 47 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it83% 74 of 89
Prochazka1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog55% won 24 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back35% 8 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back20% 3 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeVesecky3wins
AwayProchazka2wins
3 of 5 to a deciderVesecky leads 3–2, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVesecky66.7%2 of 3
AwayProchazkan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vesecky3Prochazka2n = 5Vesecky took 3 of 5
S2Vesecky3Prochazka2n = 5Vesecky took 3 of 5
S3Vesecky1Prochazka4n = 5Prochazka took 4 of 5
S4Vesecky3Prochazka2n = 5Vesecky took 3 of 5
S5Vesecky2Prochazka1n = 3Vesecky took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricVeseckyProchazkaV − PBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match41.842.4−0.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeseckyProchazkaBasisWin rate · lifetime370 / 652 vs 74 / 12456.8%59.7%370 / 652 vs 74 / 124Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.440.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeseckyVesecky 1.80/Prochazka 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vesecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vesecky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 10 · 15:55D. Vesecky4311961162M. Prochazka47911115113
WAug 4 · 08:25D. Vesecky45111193113M. Prochazka4899111182
WJul 30 · 14:55D. Vesecky42631111113M. Prochazka3711114652
WJul 29 · 13:25D. Vesecky3911116113M. Prochazka33781171
LJul 28 · 07:25D. Vesecky401312781M. Prochazka47151011113
D. Vesecky10
WSep 8 · 13:55D. Vesecky1.8011128113J. Zacharda1.919101171LSep 8 · 12:55D. Vesecky1.53861181P. Benes2.3811117113WSep 8 · 11:55D. Vesecky1.61111110133J. Zacharda2.205912111LSep 8 · 10:55D. Vesecky2.20118551M. Cerny1.6191111113WSep 7 · 13:58J. Zacharda2.0021911392D. Vesecky1.731117211113LSep 7 · 12:55J. Zacharda2.631111113D. Vesecky1.449680LSep 7 · 12:25M. Cerny1.731111113D. Vesecky2.004460LSep 7 · 11:25D. Vesecky2.0011740J. Kocab1.731311113LSep 6 · 09:54D. Vesecky2.508990D. Bochnak1.501111113LSep 6 · 08:55D. Vesecky1.7391080J. Benak2.001112113
M. Prochazka10
LAug 29 · 21:55M. Brozek2.381111113M. Prochazka1.539880LAug 29 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.7512811113M. Prochazka1.401011441LAug 29 · 20:25M. Prochazka2.0010111051D. Bochnak1.7312712113LAug 29 · 18:55M. Brozek2.5011115113M. Prochazka1.50871171WAug 29 · 18:00M. Prochazka1.53141111113M. Kulisek2.38167791WAug 29 · 17:25M. Prochazka1.44101111173M. Kulisek2.631258151LAug 29 · 15:55D. Vesecky1.83781211113M. Prochazka1.83111110542LAug 29 · 15:25O. Fiklik2.2011185123M. Prochazka1.6181611101LAug 12 · 09:59M. Prochazka1.50811991M. Cerny2.5011911113WAug 12 · 08:55M. Cerny2.005680M. Prochazka1.731111113
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