TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13041740
Played Aug 29Finished
Marek Kulisek
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210811114114––
Michal Prochazka
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:01 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Prochazka to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarek Kulisek above · Michal Prochazka below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 71 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Michal Prochazka at 70.7%
71 points played in total.
H2H Marek Kulisek 1–6 Michal Prochazka Marek Kulisek has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:01What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Prochazka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-6 in 7
Prochazka
Wrong
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulisek 1641 vs Prochazka 1703
Prochazka
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulisek 20% vs Prochazka 40%
Prochazka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulisek 50% vs Prochazka 30%
Kulisek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulisek +1 · Prochazka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Prochazka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prochazka form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulisek 2.75 / Prochazka 1.40
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Prochazka)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13041740
Kulisek2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 108 of 285
Down 0–1, comes back22% 36 of 165
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 92
Prochazka1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 51 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it100% 19 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it83% 33 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKulisek1wins
AwayProchazka6wins
2 of 7 to a deciderProchazka leads 6–1, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulisek0%0 of 3
AwayProchazka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulisek3Prochazka4n = 7Prochazka took 4 of 7
S2Kulisek3Prochazka4n = 7Prochazka took 4 of 7
S3Kulisek2Prochazka5n = 7Prochazka took 5 of 7
S4Kulisek2Prochazka4n = 6Prochazka took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricKulisekProchazkaK − PBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match36.941.3−4.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulisekProchazkaBasisWin rate · lifetime378 / 853 vs 77 / 13344.3%57.9%378 / 853 vs 77 / 133Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.140.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProchazkaKulisek 2.75/Prochazka 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.7%
Prochazka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kulisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 29 · 17:25M. Kulisek401258151M. Prochazka49101111173
LAug 3 · 18:55M. Kulisek27751141M. Prochazka4111118113
LJul 25 · 20:55M. Kulisek511171211102M. Prochazka50411149123
WJul 23 · 18:03M. Kulisek4071111113M. Prochazka24116251
LJul 23 · 16:55M. Kulisek27101340M. Prochazka381215113
LJul 19 · 15:55M. Kulisek4311113992M. Prochazka48781111113
LJul 18 · 19:25M. Kulisek30811831M. Prochazka3911611113
M. Kulisek10
WSep 13 · 19:55M. Kulisek2.00411811113M. Cerny1.7311911542LSep 13 · 18:55M. Kulisek2.1012115652J. Zacharda1.671081111113LSep 9 · 21:50M. Kulisek2.0078100M. Brozek1.731111123WSep 9 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.1041111113M. Brozek1.67118651WSep 9 · 19:20M. Sulc2.003580M. Kulisek1.731111113WSep 9 · 18:50O. Fiklik2.006660M. Kulisek1.731111113LSep 7 · 22:14M. Kulisek2.20116881M. Brozek1.6181111113WSep 7 · 20:55M. Brozek1.619990M. Kulisek2.201111113LSep 7 · 20:25D. Bochnak1.171171113113M. Kulisek4.5071161532LSep 7 · 19:25M. Kulisek2.50119181P. Benes1.5071111113
M. Prochazka10
LAug 29 · 21:55M. Brozek2.381111113M. Prochazka1.539880LAug 29 · 20:25M. Prochazka2.0010111051D. Bochnak1.7312712113LAug 29 · 18:55M. Brozek2.5011115113M. Prochazka1.50871171WAug 29 · 18:00M. Prochazka1.53141111113M. Kulisek2.38167791WAug 29 · 17:25M. Prochazka1.44101111173M. Kulisek2.631258151LAug 29 · 15:55D. Vesecky1.83781211113M. Prochazka1.83111110542LAug 29 · 15:25O. Fiklik2.2011185123M. Prochazka1.6181611101LAug 12 · 09:59M. Prochazka1.50811991M. Cerny2.5011911113WAug 12 · 08:55M. Cerny2.005680M. Prochazka1.731111113LAug 12 · 08:25D. Vesecky1.805121111113M. Prochazka1.91111013992
Upcoming Matches
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