TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13041144
Played Aug 29Finished
Michal Brozek
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118117511117––
Michal Prochazka
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:04 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Prochazka to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Brozek above · Michal Prochazka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 71 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Michal Prochazka at 56.7%
71 points played in total.
H2H Michal Brozek 5–13 Michal Prochazka Michal Brozek has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:04What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Prochazka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-13 in 18
Prochazka
Wrong
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1636 vs Prochazka 1645
Prochazka
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 60% vs Prochazka 40%
Brozek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 70% vs Prochazka 50%
Brozek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek +1 · Prochazka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Prochazka) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prochazka form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 2.50 / Prochazka 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Prochazka)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13041144
Brozek2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 80 of 189
Down 0–1, comes back16% 15 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 53
Prochazka1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 51 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it100% 19 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it83% 33 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrozek1wins
AwayProchazka9wins
5 of 10 to a deciderProchazka leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrozek0%0 of 3
AwayProchazka85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brozek3Prochazka7n = 10Prochazka took 7 of 10
S2Brozek8Prochazka2n = 10Brozek took 8 of 10
S3Brozek2Prochazka8n = 10Prochazka took 8 of 10
S4Brozek3Prochazka6n = 9Prochazka took 6 of 9
S5Brozek0Prochazka5n = 5Prochazka took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrozekProchazkaB − PBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.243.4−6.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekProchazkaBasisWin rate · lifetime534 / 1022 vs 77 / 13552.3%57%534 / 1022 vs 77 / 135Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.740.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProchazkaBrozek 2.50/Prochazka 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Prochazka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Brozek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 10 · 12:25M. Brozek46414131142M. Prochazka5811121113113
WAug 2 · 19:55M. Brozek4181111113M. Prochazka33118681
LJul 29 · 14:05M. Brozek38111101152M. Prochazka46411128113
LJul 29 · 12:25M. Brozek44611611102M. Prochazka45113118123
LJul 25 · 20:25M. Brozek195950M. Prochazka331111113
LJul 24 · 13:53M. Brozek346111161M. Prochazka4411913113
LJul 24 · 11:55M. Brozek26511551M. Prochazka4111811113
LJul 23 · 14:55M. Brozek381011891M. Prochazka4012611113
LJul 23 · 09:25M. Brozek39111110342M. Prochazka44731211113
LJul 22 · 13:55M. Brozek4711118982M. Prochazka50981111113
M. Brozek10
WSep 9 · 21:50M. Kulisek2.0078100M. Brozek1.731111123LSep 9 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.1041111113M. Brozek1.67118651WSep 9 · 19:50M. Brozek1.571112113O. Fiklik2.2561070WSep 9 · 18:20M. Sulc3.0067120M. Brozek1.361111143LSep 9 · 10:25M. Brozek1.4511510111A. Rek2.6061112133WSep 9 · 09:25J. Vonasek2.256670M. Brozek1.571111113WSep 9 · 08:25M. Brozek1.4411911113A. Rek2.63911961WSep 9 · 06:55A. Langer2.5011121131M. Brozek1.5013148113WSep 7 · 22:14M. Kulisek2.20116881M. Brozek1.6181111113LSep 7 · 20:55M. Brozek1.619990M. Kulisek2.201111113
M. Prochazka10
LAug 29 · 21:55M. Brozek2.381111113M. Prochazka1.539880LAug 29 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.7512811113M. Prochazka1.401011441LAug 29 · 20:25M. Prochazka2.0010111051D. Bochnak1.7312712113WAug 29 · 18:00M. Prochazka1.53141111113M. Kulisek2.38167791WAug 29 · 17:25M. Prochazka1.44101111173M. Kulisek2.631258151LAug 29 · 15:55D. Vesecky1.83781211113M. Prochazka1.83111110542LAug 29 · 15:25O. Fiklik2.2011185123M. Prochazka1.6181611101LAug 12 · 09:59M. Prochazka1.50811991M. Cerny2.5011911113WAug 12 · 08:55M. Cerny2.005680M. Prochazka1.731111113LAug 12 · 08:25D. Vesecky1.805121111113M. Prochazka1.91111013992
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