TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13018785
Played Aug 26Finished
Marcin Balcerzak
Home
2.95
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1178111191012117
Artur Daniel
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
1178111191012117
H2H Marcin Balcerzak 12–46 Artur Daniel Marcin Balcerzak has won 12 of their 58 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Daniel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Daniel form (60%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBalcerzak 2.95 / Daniel 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Daniel)+4.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13018785
Balcerzak2.95
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog36% won 133 of 366
Down 0–1, comes back16% 33 of 205
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 106
Daniel1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite62% won 222 of 357
Up 2–0, closes it96% 112 of 117
Up 1–0, closes it78% 171 of 219
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBalcerzak5wins
AwayDaniel5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBalcerzak60%3 of 5
AwayDaniel60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Balcerzak5Daniel5n = 10split evenly
S2Balcerzak5Daniel5n = 10split evenly
S3Balcerzak5Daniel5n = 10split evenly
S4Balcerzak4Daniel4n = 8split evenly
S5Balcerzak2Daniel2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBalcerzakDanielB − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.940.4−0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBalcerzakDanielBasisWin rate · lifetime645 / 1563 vs 791 / 147741.3%53.6%645 / 1563 vs 791 / 1477Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanielBalcerzak 2.95/Daniel 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.7%
Daniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Balcerzak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 12 · 14:15M. Balcerzak—116111062A. Daniel—911912113
LAug 5 · 13:00M. Balcerzak—411461A. Daniel—11711113
WJun 25 · 09:00M. Balcerzak—11119113A. Daniel—751161
WJun 19 · 11:15M. Balcerzak—871316133A. Daniel—11111114112
WJun 18 · 09:20M. Balcerzak—1112133A. Daniel—710110
LJun 11 · 13:15M. Balcerzak—1110911102A. Daniel—412118123
LMay 8 · 13:10M. Balcerzak—811871A. Daniel—11911113
LMay 8 · 05:00M. Balcerzak—4790A. Daniel—1111113
WApr 29 · 12:45M. Balcerzak—911117133A. Daniel—119711112
WApr 16 · 14:25M. Balcerzak—11611113A. Daniel—311751
M. Balcerzak10
WAug 26 · 13:50M. Balcerzak2.201111123G. Poliniewicz1.5798100LAug 26 · 12:35M. Balcerzak3.951171191K. Wloczko1.2013119113LAug 26 · 11:20M. Balcerzak1.77117121052K. Wisniewski1.959111012113WAug 26 · 10:05J. Kuzmicz1.30571212102M. Balcerzak3.1511111010123WAug 26 · 08:30M. Balcerzak1.421211113M. Minda2.6010280WAug 26 · 06:50M. Balcerzak1.42111011113J. Zochniak2.65512461WAug 26 · 05:35M. Balcerzak1.3315119113J. Glanowski2.951391191WAug 26 · 04:00M. Balcerzak1.321112113B. Sulkowski3.0071080WAug 26 · 03:00M. Balcerzak1.301111113A. Lilien3.107570WAug 24 · 14:20P. Blocho1.80751151M. Balcerzak1.9111119113
A. Daniel10
WSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592LSep 4 · 19:40A. Daniel1.3311114992T. Filbrandt3.25651111113LSep 4 · 18:30A. Daniel1.30123561M. Kolek3.40101111113WSep 4 · 17:20P. Jendrzejewski2.0071141182A. Daniel1.73119119113WSep 4 · 16:30A. Daniel1.501271113113M. Rutkowski2.50141141192WSep 4 · 14:35A. Daniel3.0011611113S. Dosz1.33411681WSep 4 · 13:00A. Daniel1.3511711113G. Poliniewicz2.85611591WSep 4 · 11:45A. Daniel1.80711911113K. Wloczko1.9011911682LSep 4 · 10:05A. Daniel1.3711911982J. Zochniak2.75611911113LSep 4 · 09:00A. Daniel1.42114711112K. Wisniewski2.60311119133
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