TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13016607
Played Aug 26Finished
Marcin Balcerzak
Home
1.32
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210118––––
Bartosz Sulkowski
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:08 and never touched — 79.7% is still 79.7%
Graded at full timeMarcin Balcerzak to win
79.7%
79.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
1171210118––––
H2H Marcin Balcerzak 12–1 Bartosz Sulkowski Bartosz Sulkowski has won 1 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:08What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.32 (69%)
Balcerzak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-1 in 13
Balcerzak
Correct
gap of 11 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Balcerzak 1657 vs Sulkowski 1465
Balcerzak
Correct
both rated, 192 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Balcerzak 80% vs Sulkowski 20%
Balcerzak
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Balcerzak 60% vs Sulkowski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Balcerzak +4 · Sulkowski -1
Balcerzak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Balcerzak) · live re-read · sealed at 80% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBalcerzak 1.32 / Sulkowski 3.00
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Balcerzak)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13016607
Balcerzak1.32
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 179 of 252
Up 2–0, closes it98% 106 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it93% 137 of 147
Sulkowski3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 163 of 518
Down 0–1, comes back16% 49 of 299
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 146
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBalcerzak10wins
AwaySulkowski0wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBalcerzak leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBalcerzak100%7 of 7
AwaySulkowski0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Balcerzak7Sulkowski3n = 10Balcerzak took 7 of 10
S2Balcerzak9Sulkowski1n = 10Balcerzak took 9 of 10
S3Balcerzak6Sulkowski4n = 10Balcerzak took 6 of 10
S4Balcerzak6Sulkowski1n = 7Balcerzak took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBalcerzakSulkowskiB − SBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.228.9+10.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBalcerzakSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime641 / 1558 vs 517 / 117441.1%44%641 / 1558 vs 517 / 1174Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BalcerzakBalcerzak 1.32/Sulkowski 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.7%
Balcerzak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Balcerzak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 2 · 04:10M. Balcerzak—81111113B. Sulkowski—116981
WJun 1 · 05:15M. Balcerzak—511411113B. Sulkowski—11511392
WMay 28 · 03:05M. Balcerzak—81111123B. Sulkowski—1147101
WMay 27 · 07:45M. Balcerzak—1110115113B. Sulkowski—61221152
WMay 11 · 04:35M. Balcerzak—11118113B. Sulkowski—841171
WApr 30 · 07:55M. Balcerzak—111110113B. Sulkowski—391251
WApr 23 · 11:50M. Balcerzak—1111113B. Sulkowski—9650
WApr 23 · 04:35M. Balcerzak—11112113B. Sulkowski—451181
WApr 13 · 14:20M. Balcerzak—1211113B. Sulkowski—10250
WApr 1 · 03:25M. Balcerzak—1111113B. Sulkowski—9690
M. Balcerzak10
WAug 26 · 13:50M. Balcerzak2.201111123G. Poliniewicz1.5798100LAug 26 · 12:35M. Balcerzak3.951171191K. Wloczko1.2013119113LAug 26 · 11:20M. Balcerzak1.77117121052K. Wisniewski1.959111012113WAug 26 · 10:05J. Kuzmicz1.30571212102M. Balcerzak3.1511111010123WAug 26 · 09:20M. Balcerzak2.951181110113A. Daniel1.3671191272WAug 26 · 08:30M. Balcerzak1.421211113M. Minda2.6010280WAug 26 · 06:50M. Balcerzak1.42111011113J. Zochniak2.65512461WAug 26 · 05:35M. Balcerzak1.3315119113J. Glanowski2.951391191WAug 26 · 03:00M. Balcerzak1.301111113A. Lilien3.107570WAug 24 · 14:20P. Blocho1.80751151M. Balcerzak1.9111119113
B. Sulkowski10
WSep 7 · 24:35A. Linek1.97136681B. Sulkowski1.71111111113WSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113LSep 6 · 22:15M. Trela1.941111117113B. Sulkowski1.7461341192LSep 6 · 21:30A. Myszewski2.3711711113B. Sulkowski1.51511451WSep 6 · 19:40J. Michalczyk2.21811981B. Sulkowski1.5711211113WSep 6 · 18:55M. Trela2.239711121B. Sulkowski1.5611112143WSep 6 · 18:10B. Sulkowski1.60111178113A. Myszewski2.1036111142LSep 6 · 16:35B. Sulkowski2.258115101A. Lilien1.5511811123LSep 6 · 15:50A. Wos1.421511113113B. Sulkowski2.6017761162WSep 5 · 23:20A. Lilien1.62711781B. Sulkowski2.1511711113
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