TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13016909
Played Aug 26Finished
Marcin Balcerzak
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1513119911119––
Jakub Glanowski
Away
2.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Glanowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
1513119911119––
H2H Marcin Balcerzak 9–9 Jakub Glanowski Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 04:24What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (69%)
Balcerzak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-9 in 18
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Balcerzak 1665 vs Glanowski 1545
Balcerzak
Correct
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Balcerzak 100% vs Glanowski 60%
Balcerzak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Balcerzak 70% vs Glanowski 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Balcerzak +5 · Glanowski -1
Balcerzak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Balcerzak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Glanowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBalcerzak 1.33 / Glanowski 2.95
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Balcerzak)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13016909
Balcerzak1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 179 of 252
Up 2–0, closes it98% 106 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it93% 137 of 147
Glanowski2.95
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 176 of 408
Down 0–1, comes back22% 43 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBalcerzak5wins
AwayGlanowski5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBalcerzak83.3%5 of 6
AwayGlanowski100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Balcerzak6Glanowski4n = 10Balcerzak took 6 of 10
S2Balcerzak2Glanowski8n = 10Glanowski took 8 of 10
S3Balcerzak4Glanowski6n = 10Glanowski took 6 of 10
S4Balcerzak3Glanowski1n = 4Balcerzak took 3 of 4
S5Balcerzak2Glanowski1n = 3Balcerzak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricBalcerzakGlanowskiB − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.435.1−2.7per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBalcerzakGlanowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime642 / 1559 vs 894 / 181941.2%49.2%642 / 1559 vs 894 / 1819Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BalcerzakBalcerzak 1.33/Glanowski 2.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.7%
Balcerzak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Balcerzak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 12 · 05:15M. Balcerzak—9470J. Glanowski—1111113
LMar 16 · 10:25M. Balcerzak—4740J. Glanowski—1111113
WMar 10 · 12:00M. Balcerzak—1111113J. Glanowski—7990
WMar 10 · 07:05M. Balcerzak—1211113J. Glanowski—10820
LDec 25 · 04:05M. Balcerzak—11481132J. Glanowski—411116113
LAug 27 · 04:10M. Balcerzak—91070J. Glanowski—1112113
WAug 14 · 09:25M. Balcerzak—117116113J. Glanowski—91181152
LJul 29 · 12:15M. Balcerzak—5660J. Glanowski—1111113
WJul 29 · 03:25M. Balcerzak—1110612173J. Glanowski—7121110152
WJul 28 · 11:00M. Balcerzak—11711113J. Glanowski—411971
M. Balcerzak10
WAug 26 · 13:50M. Balcerzak2.201111123G. Poliniewicz1.5798100LAug 26 · 12:35M. Balcerzak3.951171191K. Wloczko1.2013119113LAug 26 · 11:20M. Balcerzak1.77117121052K. Wisniewski1.959111012113WAug 26 · 10:05J. Kuzmicz1.30571212102M. Balcerzak3.1511111010123WAug 26 · 09:20M. Balcerzak2.951181110113A. Daniel1.3671191272WAug 26 · 08:30M. Balcerzak1.421211113M. Minda2.6010280WAug 26 · 06:50M. Balcerzak1.42111011113J. Zochniak2.65512461WAug 26 · 04:00M. Balcerzak1.321112113B. Sulkowski3.0071080WAug 26 · 03:00M. Balcerzak1.301111113A. Lilien3.107570WAug 24 · 14:20P. Blocho1.80751151M. Balcerzak1.9111119113
J. Glanowski10
LSep 4 · 24:10J. Kuzmicz1.221111113J. Glanowski4.007890LSep 3 · 23:45J. Glanowski2.2561060M. Kolek1.571112113LSep 3 · 22:55J. Glanowski3.75121050M. Rutkowski1.251412113LSep 3 · 21:00J. Glanowski2.7511631152J. Chmielowski1.40811118113WSep 3 · 08:30G. Poliniewicz1.45891111102J. Glanowski2.50111188123WSep 3 · 07:15J. Glanowski1.861311114113K. Rudomina1.8015751182LSep 3 · 06:00J. Zochniak1.47119311173J. Glanowski2.45811114152LSep 3 · 04:50M. Minda1.9011811123J. Glanowski1.807119101LSep 3 · 03:20D. Solilo1.731111113J. Glanowski2.004880WSep 2 · 13:55J. Glanowski1.851111113S. Brud1.858890
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